Comment on Decision Theories: A Less Wrong Primer

Thu, 15 Mar 2012 12:07:15 GMT

Even if you do, how is knowing that the lesion causes cancer going to change anything about P(smokes|gets cancer) ? The issue is that you need to do two equations, one for case when you do have lesion, and other for when you don't have lesion. The EDT just confuses those together.

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