shminux comments on What Is Signaling, Really? - LessWrong

74 Post author: Yvain 12 July 2012 05:43PM

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Comment author: shminux 11 July 2012 08:14:21PM -1 points [-]

as shown by anecdotal evidence

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Comment author: DaFranker 11 July 2012 08:27:32PM *  3 points [-]

Even "anecdotal" evidence is sufficient for a posterior to become P(There Cannot Ever Be A Case Where X | Anecdote of X) < 1.

If you read carefully, you'll notice that I wrote potentially-insane. Not "It Must Be Insane Because [Insert Anecdote X]".

If I'm wrong, please point to me where I've misinterpreted / misread Bayes' Theorem on this. I'd really like to get rid of this irrational manner of thought ASAP.