jeremysalwen comments on Less Wrong Polls in Comments - LessWrong
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Hey everyone, I just voted, and so I can see the correct answer. The average is 19.2, so you should choose 17%!
Of course that's what you'd say...
Or maybe that's what I want you to think I'd say...
The noise in my simulations quickly drown out any actual logic and the markov chain reaches its stable distribution.
So what did you guess then?
I guessed "the only winning move is not to play"
(I didn't guess. rationalization: I didn't want to do the thinking, and can't see the results anyway)