= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
ThrustVectoring comments on Rationality: Appreciating Cognitive Algorithms - LessWrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
= 783df68a0f980790206b9ea87794c5b6)
Loading…= b715d02e85f7b3b4ae65ca3d3e450868)
Subscribe to RSS Feed
Powered by Reddit
= f037147d6e6c911a85753b9abdedda8d)
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (134)
To me, the first means that I assign a probability > 50%, the latter that I assign a probability close to 1.
That's because the "I believe" part of "I believe X" acts as a kind of socially acceptable way to back off from a statement if it turns out to be wrong. People tend to say "I believe X" when they want to be able to later admit that they were wrong about X, so that's why it's less of a probabilistic commitment.