Morendil comments on Raising the forecasting waterline (part 1) - LessWrong
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Comments (108)
It's because it's now 3am and I've stuck a knife in the back of my tomorrow-self, who will wake up sleep deprived, so that my present-self (with a 1500 word first draft completed) can enjoy the certainty of hitting an estimate which was only that, not a commitment. Hyperbolic discounting is a royal pain.
It's because I'm a sucker for this kind of thing, as are many of my colleagues working in software development. :-/