Luke quoted:

Science is built around the assumption that you're too stupid and self-deceiving to just use [probability theory]. After all, if it was that simple, we wouldn't need a social process of science... [Standard scientific method] doesn't trust your rationality, and it doesn't rely on your ability to use probability theory as the arbiter of truth. It wants you to set up a definitive experiment.

That's a pretty irritatingly-wrong quote. Of course the scientific method is social of reasons other than the stupidity and self-deceiving nature of scientists. For example, the scientists doing the cigarette-company-funded science probably weren't stupid or self-deceiving. Other scientists doubted their science for a different set of reasons.