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army1987 comments on A Call for Constant Vigilance - LessWrong
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That sounds like an overwhelming exception to me.
Yes, it is an overwhelming exception. In the real world these differences always exist, and you'll have to use your intuition to correct for them.
I'm trying to make the least convenient possible world where two randomly selected people are pulled from a crowd and are given the same, luckless task and one does better. Existing differences in brain-biology, priors, and previously gained knowledge still apply, while differences in resources and non-brain-related biology should be factored out. In these unnatural conditions, when it comes to that specific task, the one who did better is by definition a superior instrumental rationalist.
Agreed, but actually I would call a world where if people who chew gum get more throat abscesses one could reliably conclude that refraining to chew gum is the right choice to prevent throat abscesses a more convenient world than ours.