Statistically speaking, if you pick up a seashell and don't hold it to your ear, you can probably hear the ocean.
Umm, is it me being sleepy, or did he get P(I picked up a seashell) and P(I'm near the ocean) mixed up in the equation? P(near the ocean | evidence) shouldn't be inversely proportional to P(near the ocean). [ETA: Randall fixed it now.]
Another month has passed and here is a new rationality quotes thread. The usual rules are: