I disagree with Deutsch, I think prediction is much more important to science than he makes it out to be.
The issue is the questions (about the future) you ask. Deutsch says
I may, for instance predict that if a conjurer seems to place various balls under various cups, those cups will later appear to be empty; and I may predict that if the conjurer appears to saw someone in half, that person will later appear on stage unharmed. Those are testable predictions.
and, of course, that is true, but these are "uninteresting" questions to ask. Let me ask for different predictions: please predict what will happen to the balls if the cups are transparent. Please predict what will happen to the person being sawed in half if we take away three sides of the box he's in.
Given the proper questions one will have to understand "how the trick works" to produce correct forecasts.
Science is about predictions, provided you ask to predict the right thing.
Science is about predictions, provided you ask to predict the right thing.
This might be relevant (on the distinction between prediction and explanation):
http://amturing.acm.org/vp/pearl_2658896.cfm
starting at time point 20:34.
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