but to say "I have a good feeling about this" is not a rational statement, it's an emotional statement.
If your hunches have a bad track record, then you should learn to ignore them, but if they do work, then ignoring them is irrational.
Even if emotions are suboptimal tools in virtually all cases (which I find unlikely), that doesn't mean that ignoring them is a good idea. It's like how getting rid of overconfidence bias and risk aversion is good, but getting rid of overconfidence bias OR risk aversion is a terrible idea. Everything we've added since emotion was built around emotion. If emotion will give you an irrational bias, then you'll evolve a counter bias elsewhere.
If your hunches have a bad track record, then you should learn to ignore them, but if they do work, then ignoring them is irrational.
If your hunches have a good track record, I think you should explore that and come up with a rational explanation, and make sure it's not just a coincidence. Additionally, while following your hunches isn't inherently bad, rational people shouldn't be convinced of an argument merely based on somebody else's hunch.
...Even if emotions are suboptimal tools in virtually all cases (which I find unlikely), that doesn't mean tha
Another month, another rationality quotes thread. The rules are: