johnswentworth comments on The Power of Noise - LessWrong

28 Post author: jsteinhardt 16 June 2014 05:26PM

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Comment author: IlyaShpitser 29 October 2015 06:54:05PM *  1 point [-]

This doesn't require omniscience, or AI: people do this now (based on info they have). If you have more info, we know how to use it (there is theory). Why are we talking about AI, this is a math problem.


Slightly harshly worded suggestion (not to you specifically): maybe more reading, less invocation of robo-Jesus in vain.

Comment author: johnswentworth 14 November 2015 01:21:57AM 0 points [-]

Exactly! This is a math problem! And it becomes a very complicated math problem very quickly as the prior information gets interesting.

There's nothing magical about an AI; it can't figure out anything a human couldn't figure out in principle. The difference is the "superintelligence" bit: a superintelligent AI could efficiently use much more complicated prior information for experiment design.

Comment author: EHeller 14 November 2015 06:57:13AM 0 points [-]

I don't understand the improvement you think is possible here. In a lot of cases, the math isn't the problem, the theory is known. The difficulty is usually finding a large enough sample size,etc.