wedrifid comments on Too good to be true - LessWrong
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I question this assumption. The distribution of errors that people will make in public communication tracks closely what they can expect to get away with doing. Errors (and non-errors, for that matter) that would result in social sanction will be reviewed more closely before publication, when they are generated at all. If your new satellite powered surveillance technique reports that the Emperor has No Clothes you double check.
The addition of 'noise' to a process with publication bias will enhance the strength of that bias. It also potentially increases regression towards equal negative/positive results. It is not clear which of these opposing influences will be stronger in a given field.