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ygert comments on Too good to be true - LessWrong
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Stupid mathematical nitpick:
Actually, it is more correct to say that .95 ^ 39 = 0.14.
If we calculate it out to a few more decimal places, we see that .95 ^ 39 is ~0.135275954. This is closer to 0.14 than to 0.13, and the mathematical convention is to round accordingly.