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Philip_W comments on Simulate and Defer To More Rational Selves - LessWrong
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That doesn't seem true. How can the victim know for sure that the blackmailer is simulating them accurately or being rational?
Suppose you get mugged in an alley by random thugs. Which of these outcomes seems most likely:
You give them the money, they leave.
You lecture them about counterfactual reasoning, they leave.
You lecture them about counterfactual reasoning, they stab you.
Any agent capable of appearing irrational to a rational agent can blackmail that rational agent. This decreases the probability of agents which appear irrational being irrational, but not necessarily to the point that you can dismiss them.