Comment on Newcomblike problems are the norm

Thu, 25 Sep 2014 17:26:00 GMT

I think my original post may have been unclear. Sorry about that.

What I meant was not that how accurate omega is impacts what CDC does. What I meant was that the accuracy impacts how much "pick up" you can get from a better theory. So if omega is perfect one boxing get you 1,000,000 vs 1000 from two boxing for an increase of 999,000. If omega is less than perfect, then sometimes the one boxer gets nothing or the two boxer gets 1001000. This brings their average results closer. At some accuracy, P, CDC and the theory which solves the problem and correctly chooses to one box do almost equally well.

Omegas accuracy is related to the information leakage about the choosers decision theory.

Discuss