Metus comments on A Cost- Benefit Analysis of Immunizing Healthy Adults Against Influenza - LessWrong

14 Post author: Fluttershy 11 November 2014 04:10AM

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Comment author: Metus 11 November 2014 03:18:55PM 1 point [-]

Am I being particularly dense or are there no numbers in the form of "expected value of not getting the shot: $Y", "expected value of getting the short: $X" and "difference $(X-Y), therefore ...."

Comment author: Weedlayer 12 November 2014 12:55:24AM 2 points [-]

EV (Shot) = -$90 EV (No Shot) = -$104

Difference (Getting the shot minus not getting it) = -$90 - (-$104) = $14

Therefore, get the shot.

The first two values are in the tree. The difference can be figured out by mental arithmetic.