Metus comments on A Cost- Benefit Analysis of Immunizing Healthy Adults Against Influenza - LessWrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (81)
Am I being particularly dense or are there no numbers in the form of "expected value of not getting the shot: $Y", "expected value of getting the short: $X" and "difference $(X-Y), therefore ...."
EV (Shot) = -$90 EV (No Shot) = -$104
Difference (Getting the shot minus not getting it) = -$90 - (-$104) = $14
Therefore, get the shot.
The first two values are in the tree. The difference can be figured out by mental arithmetic.