James_Miller comments on A Cost- Benefit Analysis of Immunizing Healthy Adults Against Influenza - LessWrong

14 Post author: Fluttershy 11 November 2014 04:10AM

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Comment author: CCC 11 November 2014 08:22:53PM 2 points [-]

If that many assumptions are slanted in the direction of conclusion A, and the data is still in favour of conclusion B, even by such a minor amount, then that suggests that conclusion B is (significantly) liklier to be the correct course of action than A.

In other words, once we start factoring in the potential cost of death; the cost to society of your spreading the flu further; assuming an immune system suitable to a human and not to Hercules; then that dollar and five cents is likely to grow to a respectable sum.