ChristianKl comments on A Cost- Benefit Analysis of Immunizing Healthy Adults Against Influenza - LessWrong
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Comments (81)
While flu shots very likely cause no serious adverse responses it's a quite different case then the earth being 5,000 (or 6,000) years old.
There no good reason to assume that everybody has an allergy to gluten knows about it. If there are known conditions under which flu shots can have serious adverse reaction we can't be as confident that we don't miss an additional case as we are confident that the earth is older than 6000 years.
Claiming that's the same order of confidence seems to me quite a stretch.