Fluttershy comments on A Cost- Benefit Analysis of Immunizing Healthy Adults Against Influenza - LessWrong

14 Post author: Fluttershy 11 November 2014 04:10AM

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Comment author: Fluttershy 15 November 2014 06:24:31AM 0 points [-]

This confusion is due to the fact that the system of two equations I wrote in my comment above was originally crammed onto one line, rather than being separated onto two lines. Sorry! This formatting error made the comment hard to read, and has since been corrected. The correct system of equations to solve is:

p(sick1) x 0.42 + p(sick2) x 0.58 = 1 x 0.10

p(sick1) = p(sick2) x 0.60

Instead of:

.42* p(sick1) + .58*p(sick2) = .238

.1 p(sick1) + 1.38p(sick2) = .238.