RyanCarey comments on Using machine learning to predict romantic compatibility: empirical results - LessWrong
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
You are viewing a comment permalink. View the original post to see all comments and the full post content.
Comments (18)
Makes sense.
I think they both have their strengths and weaknesses. When you give your model to a non-statistician to use, you'll set a decision threshold. If the ROC curve is non-convex, then yes, some regions are strictly dominated by others. Then area under the curve is a broken metric because it gives some weight to completely useless areas. You could replace the dud areas with the bits that they're dominated by, but that's inelegant. If the second derivative is near zero, then AUC still cares too much about regions that will still only be used for an extreme utility function.
So in a way it's better to take a balanced F1 score, and maximise it. Then, you're ignoring the performance of the model at implausible decision thresholds. If you are implicitly using a very wrong utility function, then at least people can easily call you out on it.
For example, here the two models have similar AUC but for the range of decision thresholds that you would plausibly set the blue model, blue is better - at least it's clearly good at something.
Obviously, ROC has its advantages too and may be better overall, I'm just pointing out a couple of overlooked strengths of the simpler metric.
Yes.