lukeprog comments on Calibration Test with database of 150,000+ questions - LessWrong

37 Post author: Nanashi 14 March 2015 11:22AM

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Comment author: lukeprog 13 March 2015 06:03:23PM 7 points [-]

0% probability is my most common answer as well, but I'm using it less often than I was choosing 50% on the CFAR calibration app (which forces a binary answer choice rather than an open-ended answer choice). The CFAR app has lots of questions like "Which of these two teams won the Superbowl in 1978" where I just have no idea. The trivia database Nanashi is using has, for me, a greater proportion of questions on which my credence is something more interesting than an ignorance prior.