Nanashi comments on Calibration Test with database of 150,000+ questions - LessWrong

37 Post author: Nanashi 14 March 2015 11:22AM

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Comment author: Nanashi 14 March 2015 11:28:51AM 1 point [-]

That's an interesting thought but I do suspect that you'd have to answer a lot of questions to see any difference whatsoever. If you're perfectly calibrated and answer 100 questions that you are either 99.99% confident or 99.9% confident, there's a very good chance that you'll get all 100 questions right, regardless of which confidence level you pick.