Great article! A concrete demonstration of some of the ways we reason, and how that might lead to various fallacies.

It might have been better to make it into a series of shorter posts - as it was, I initially had the same misreading about the "King or Ace" question as alicey did (even after the rewrite) and stopped to spend considerable time thinking about it and your claim that King was more likely, after which I had enough mental fatigue that I didn't feel like going through the rest of the examples anymore. But I intend to return to this article later to finish reading it.