Duncan_Sabien comments on Unofficial Canon on Applied Rationality - LessWrong
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Comments (32)
Problems one and two (hard and imperfect) would suggest that people will get less value out of ScottL's post than a workshop. OK, fine. Don't let the perfect be the enemy of the good. Scale ScottL's post up through easy online access and the many, many people getting a smaller somewhat unreliable benefit turns into something very significant. But problem 3,
That's reason enough to not release your own material. But specifically, do you think ScottL's compilation above or sharing the guide I've written (if I was to post it here for anyone to use) has the same effect? Do you think our compilations will have a net negative effect on rationality?
Do you have an estimate on this? I won't hold you to it, I'd just like to know what kind of time frame 'near' is.
I'm not sure, re: whether your or ScottL's compilations provide negative value. I definitely fall shy of recommending that they be posted, but I think I ALSO fall shy of anything like requesting that they be taken down. I think there's probably a meaningful difference between CFAR publishing something, and friendly Less Wrongers being like, "Hey, here's this thing I pulled together, hope it helps." The risks I anticipate seem much stronger in the former case.
As for what "near" means, I predict with 70% confidence that we will publish more than 5000 words about actual CFAR content before the end of 2016. That's a pretty weak prediction, I know, but also I'm not in a position to be very confident (given my naïveté). I will say that in the universes where we publish 5000 words, we're also likely to publish a lot MORE.