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Future

Edited by Grognor, steven0461, et al. last updated 17th Mar 2012

If it hasn't happened yet but is going to, then it's part of the future. Checking whether or not something is going to happen is notoriously difficult. Luckily, the field of heuristics and biases has given us some insights into what can go wrong. Namely, one problem is that the future elicits far mode, which isn't about truth-seeking or gritty details.

External links

  • Predicting the Future by Eliezer Yudkowsky

See also

  • Hindsight bias, absurdity heuristic, representativeness heuristic
  • Near/far thinking
  • Exploratory engineering
  • Intelligence explosion, technological singularity
  • Existential risk
  • Black swan, narrative fallacy
  • Prediction

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