Comment author: timtyler 08 February 2010 07:49:16PM -2 points [-]

In biology 101 one learns that most organisms value having kids over living for a long time.

It appears to be fairly easy to trade kids for longer life - adopt a regime of dietary energy restriction.

Very few people do that. I figure they mostly value kids over a long life.

Also, check out the "cryonics wives" effect. It looks as though some people are not happy about the resource-investment conflict between ice and offspring.

Prospective sleepers no-doubt have their own values. I am describing one reason why most people don't sign up for cryonics. It's partly because it makes little economic sense.

Comment author: AllanCrossman 10 February 2010 10:17:57PM 1 point [-]

"In biology 101 one learns that most organisms value having kids over living for a long time."

This is a bit more advanced than you imply; I learned about the trade-off between long life and reproductive fitness in a second year dedicated evolution class.

In response to comment by mattnewport on Epistemic Luck
Comment author: roland 10 February 2010 12:58:07AM *  1 point [-]

I should have clarified better. I usually don't meet people who make a big fuss about being aghostists and ridiculing ghostists and how irrational it is to be a ghostist and then enumerate all the pedophiles that are ghostists and how much money is stolen by ghostists and that ghostists fly planes into buildings and ghostists are the ones who are responsible for all kind of violence and human suffering and etc... etc... etc...

EDIT: Consider this slogan: "Science flies you to the moon. Religion flies you into buildings." It was suggested to be used at the Bus campaign. There is just so much wrong with this, well I hope I don't have to explain what and you can figure this out by yourself.

In response to comment by roland on Epistemic Luck
Comment author: AllanCrossman 10 February 2010 03:40:27PM 5 points [-]

Nobody bothers to make a fuss about ghostists because ghostism isn't particularly important.

In response to comment by CronoDAS on Epistemic Luck
Comment author: roland 09 February 2010 07:54:40PM 2 points [-]

I was practically born into this culture, so I get worried about this on occasion.

Upvote for this. I get really annoyed by atheists that keep criticizing religious people without being aware of their own irrationality.

In response to comment by roland on Epistemic Luck
Comment author: AllanCrossman 09 February 2010 11:39:13PM 6 points [-]

Do you also get annoyed by people who don't believe in ghosts who criticize people who do without being aware of their own irrationality?

Comment author: RobinZ 24 January 2010 03:12:07PM 1 point [-]

Speaking of thinking Christians makes me think of Fred Clark: some clue might be found in his interpretation of Genesis 6-9.

In response to comment by RobinZ on Normal Cryonics
Comment author: AllanCrossman 24 January 2010 05:21:48PM *  3 points [-]

It would be easier to accept texts as mere teaching stories if they were clearly intended as such. A few are, like the Book of Job, and possibly, Jonah. Parts of Genesis, maybe (though I doubt it). But it can't be right to dismiss as a mere story everything that doesn't seem likely or decent. Much of it is surely intended literally.

Comment author: RichardKennaway 24 January 2010 12:46:57PM *  5 points [-]

What I want to know is what a thinking sort of hell-denying Christian says.

Many doctrines are collected here. Not all have the damned eternally waterboarded with boiling lead. For example, the Orthodox churches teach that hell is the response to the direct presence of God by the soul which has rejected Him. It is no more a punishment than the pain you feel if you cut a finger.

And then, whatever hell is, who goes there, and do they stay there for eternity? Doctrines differ on this as well -- the issue of works vs. faith, or the issue of those who have never encountered the Word and have not been in a position to accept or reject it.

How do they explain Biblical passages? By interpreting them (as they would say) correctly. Unless you look to extreme fringe groups who think that the King James Bible was a new revelation whose every letter is to be as meticulously preserved and revered as Moslems do the Koran, every Christian doctrine allows that the text needs interpretation. As well, the Catholic and Orthodox churches do not regard the Bible as the sole source of the Word, regarding the settled doctrine of the church as another source of divine revelation. There is also the Book of Nature, which God also wrote.

With multiple sources of divine revelation, but an axiomatic unity of that revelation, any conflicts must result from imperfect human understanding. Given the axiom, it is really not difficult to come up with resolutions of apparent conflicts. Confabulating stories in order to maintain an immovable idea is something the brain is very good at. Watch me confabulate a Bayesian justification of confabulation! Strong evidence can always defeat strong priors, and vice versa. So if the unity of God's Word is as unshakeable as 2+2=4, a mere difficult passage is less than a feather on the scales.

I say this not to teach Christian doctrines (I'm as atheist as anyone, and my Church of Scotland upbringing was as unzealous as it could possibly be and still be called a religion), but to point out that Christians do actually have answers to these questions. Ok, bad answers if you like, but if you want to argue against them you need to either tackle those answers, or find a weapon so awesome it blows the entire religious enterprise out of the water. (I'm sure there's a perfect LW link for the latter, but I can't at the moment recall where. This is rather diffuse.) Just quoting the Bible is like creationists smugly telling each other that evolutionists think a monkey gave birth to a man. It's an exercise in pouring scorn on Them. You know, those Others, over There.

As Nick Tarleton warned, upthread.

Comment author: AllanCrossman 24 January 2010 01:39:42PM 4 points [-]

Just quoting the Bible is like creationists smugly telling each other that evolutionists think a monkey gave birth to a man.

It's not like that at all. Many Bible passages dealing with Hell are perfectly clear, whereas it takes a great distortion of evolutionary theory to get to "a monkey gave birth to a man".

Comment author: RichardKennaway 23 January 2010 11:37:04PM 3 points [-]

Indeed, but I wonder how they deal with passages like Revelation 14:11, Matthew 25:41, or Mark 9:43.

If you really want to know, you could try asking them. Or reading their books, if you don't know any. You could even think up good arguments yourself for reconciling the belief with the verses.

I have no book recommendations. My point is that flaunting Biblical quotations and going "nyah! nyah!" does not make a good argument, even if the conclusion is correct. Zombie-hunting requires better instruments than that.

Comment author: AllanCrossman 24 January 2010 09:42:54AM *  2 points [-]

you could try asking them

I have. You point out the verses to them and they say things like "Well all I know is that God is just." Or they just say "Hmm." What I want to know is what a thinking sort of hell-denying Christian says.

Or reading their books

Since this is essentially a heretical position, I'm not sure how heavily it's defended in the literature. Still, I do have in my bookshelf an anthology containing a universalist essay by Marilyn McCord Adams, where she states that "I do not regard Scripture as infallible [... but ...] I do not regard my universalist theology as un-Scriptural, because I believe the theme of definitive divine triumph is central to the Bible". She seems to want to reject the Bible and accept it too.

You could even think up good arguments yourself for reconciling the belief with the verses.

I think the most coherent Christian position would be: There is a God. Various interesting things happened at God's doing, including Jesus and his miracles. The people who witnessed all these events wrote about them, but invariably these accounts are half fiction or worse. Paul is clearly a charlatan.

But nobody seems to believe this: Christians who think the Bible is fallible nevertheless act as if it is mostly right.

flaunting Biblical quotations [...] does not make a good argument

It's necessary when dealing with the doublethink of people who want to take the Bible as divine yet reject key parts of it.

going "nyah! nyah!"

Note that this sort of comment provokes an automatic reaction to fight back, rather than to consider whether you might be correct.

Comment author: Nick_Tarleton 19 January 2010 10:59:24PM 9 points [-]

IAWYC, but to nitpick, not all Christians believe in an eternity of torture for nonbelievers. Though of course the conclusion follows for any belief in a substantially better afterlife for believers.

(I feel like this is important to point out, to avoid demonizing an outgroup, but don't trust that feeling very much. What do others think?)

Comment author: AllanCrossman 21 January 2010 09:32:32PM *  1 point [-]

IAWYC, but to nitpick, not all Christians believe in an eternity of torture for nonbelievers.

Indeed, but I wonder how they deal with passages like Revelation 14:11, Matthew 25:41, or Mark 9:43.

Its conceptually possible to believe that the Bible is full of nonsense yet Jesus really did die for our sins. But nobody ever seems to actually hold this position. Or if they do, they never seem to come out and say it.

Comment author: ciphergoth 05 January 2010 03:22:59PM 6 points [-]

My first recommendation here is always Iain M Banks, Player of Games.

Comment author: AllanCrossman 18 January 2010 10:35:19PM *  0 points [-]

Why that Culture novel, precisely? I don't recall it as one of the better ones.

Admittedly, I'm unusual in that my favourite Culture story is The State of the Art. General Pinochet Chili Con Carne! Richard Nixon Burgers! What's not to like?

Comment author: Eliezer_Yudkowsky 18 January 2010 06:51:22PM 3 points [-]

That is pretty ridiculous - enough to make me want to check the original study for effect size and statistical significance. Writing newspaper articles on research without giving the original paper title ought to be outlawed.

Comment author: AllanCrossman 18 January 2010 09:49:44PM *  1 point [-]

"Small Sounds, Big Deals: Phonetic Symbolism Effects in Pricing", DOI: 10.1086/651241

http://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/pdf/10.1086/651241

Whether you'll be able to access it I know not.

In response to Drawing Two Aces
Comment author: AllanCrossman 03 January 2010 12:48:07PM *  0 points [-]

If the player has the SPADE:

  • 1/3 of the time, he also has the HEART.
  • 2/3 of the time he doesn't, and so must choose the SPADE.
  • 1/6 of the time he chooses the SPADE though he did have the HEART.

So 5/6 of the time he chooses the SPADE, but only 1/6 of the time does he choose the SPADE while having the HEART.

Thus, the chance of him having the HEART when he has chosen the SPADE is 1/5.

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