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Andy_McKenzie
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Personal website: https://andrewtmckenzie.com/

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Immortalism - A Rational Case for Solving Death
Andy_McKenzie13d100

Thanks for writing this post. I completely agree that trying to fight involuntary death is a great idea.

A few thoughts:

In my view, recording an external mindfile (what I see/hear/say) is not nearly sufficient. Most of the information I value isn't what I see, but how I react to it, such as the unique patterns of neural activation, the associations my brain makes, and the subtle emotional colorings. A video of me watching a game of bridge tells you nothing about why that particular card game reminded me of my grandparents, or how it shifted my mood in ways I couldn't even articulate. 

There's a huge difference between recording outputs and preserving the computational substrate that generates those outputs. It's like trying to recreate an AI model by saving only a relatively small amount of its chat logs. You'd be missing the actual architecture that makes it that particular system. (Now, if we could get enough behavioral data, maybe we could theoretically reverse-engineer the underlying computation. But we're talking about orders of magnitude more data than what AR glasses and EEG caps will give us. You'd need the internal states, not just the outputs. In my view, your "portable advanced EEG" in the 2030s clearly won't capture individual synaptic connection strengths or the molecular-level information that likely matters for long-term memories and personality.)

I would recommend reading or at least skimming the whole brain emulation roadmap, which you said you're planning to do. It's more about building an emulation on the basis of scanning a preserved brain. 

For myself, I am focused on structural brain preservation, which I believe can address this problem well. I think we need to preserve the connectome and the physical instantiation of memory and personality, which could potentially allow for revival with the benefit of future technology. For a recent intro to this topic, see: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/medical-technology/articles/10.3389/fmedt.2024.1400615/full

Please email me if you're interested in discussing this more. Maybe I'm wrong about something -- if so, I would love it if you could prove me wrong. I'm very glad you're interested in this space! 

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How likely is brain preservation to work?
Andy_McKenzie9mo41

 identity is irretrievably lost when the brain activity stops 

My point here is that this is a very strong claim about neuroscience -- that molecular structure doesn’t encode identity/memories. 

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Science advances one funeral at a time
[+]Andy_McKenzie10mo-5-3
Refactoring cryonics as structural brain preservation
Andy_McKenzie1y40

Thanks for the clarification and your thoughts. In my view, the question is to what extent the polymer gel embedding is helpful from the perspective of maintaining morphomolecular structure, so that it is worth the trade-off of removing the lipids, which could potentially also have information content. https://brainpreservation.github.io/Biomolecules#how-lipid-biomolecules-in-cell-membranes-could-affect-ion-flow

You are in good company in thinking that clearing and embedding the tissue in a hydrogel is the best approach. Others with expertise in the area have suggested the same thing to me. I'm just not convinced, so I think that more research is required to tell whether that is the best approach.  

ETA: Sorry, just saw your edit. Interesting thoughts on the interaction between preservation and reconstruction. Your perspective and goals make sense to me, although it is not exactly what we are pursuing at Oregon Brain Preservation. We are agnostic as to the potential method of revival and expect this to be relatively further away in the future, if it ever becomes possible. 

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Refactoring cryonics as structural brain preservation
Andy_McKenzie1y140

Thanks for your interest! 

Does OBP plan to eventually expand their services outside the USA?

In terms of our staff traveling to other locations to do the preservation procedure, unfortunately not in the immediate future. We don't have the funding for this right now. 

And how much would it cost if you didn’t subsidize it?

There are so many factors. It depends a lot on where in the world we are talking about. If we are talking about someone who legally dies locally in Salem, perhaps a minimal estimated budget would be (off the top of my head, unofficial, subject to change): 

  • Labor cost of brain preservation = ~$500-1000
  • Cost of chemicals, disposable equipment = ~$100-300 
  • Cost of death certificate, cremation, funeral services fees for the rest of the body = ~$1000-1500
  • Long-term preservation cost = very difficult to estimate, depends on economies of scale, and other factors, perhaps ~$1000-2000 

These are rough estimates. But generally speaking, there is a reason that many brain banks around the world are also able to allow people to donate their brains for free. There are many many thousands of brains preserved in this way throughout the world. It is not nearly as expensive as traditional cryonics. Here is some more information about costs for similar type of procedure from the Brain Support Network: https://www.brainsupportnetwork.org/brain-donation/brain-donation-faq/ 

Cost is a common complaint about cryonics so I could see you becoming much bigger than the cryonics orgs, but judging by the website you look quite small. Do you know why that is?

I don't know. A couple of guesses are that we are just getting started and not really doing any marketing because our focus is on researching the preservation methods. Also, it is likely that many people are skeptical of the preservation methods that we use, since they are new and different than others, as well as being experimental. Here is some more information about our research program, which you might find interesting: https://osf.io/preprints/osf/c28hm 

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Refactoring cryonics as structural brain preservation
Andy_McKenzie1y60

We discuss the possibility of fluid preservation after tissue clearing in our article: 

An alternative option is to perform tissue clearing prior to long-term preservation (118). This would remove the lipids in the brain, but offer several advantages, including repeated non-invasive imaging, and potentially reduced oxidative damage over time (119).

And also in our fluid preservation article we have a whole section on it. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11058410/#S7

I'm not sure why this option is much more robust that formaldehyde fixation alone. I haven't seen any strong evidence for that. I do agree that it is potentially very useful for 3D reconstruction, but reconstruction is a much different problem than preservation. 

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Refactoring cryonics as structural brain preservation
Andy_McKenzie1y50

I can't speak for Adele, but here is one somewhat recent article by neuroscientists discussing memory storage mechanisms: https://bmcbiol.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12915-016-0261-6

DNA is discussed as one possible storage mechanism in the context of epigenetic alterations to neurons. See the section by Andrii Rudenko and Li-Huei Tsai.

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Refactoring cryonics as structural brain preservation
Andy_McKenzie1y70

This is an important question. While I don't have a full answer, my impression is that yes, it seems to preserve the important information present in DNA. More information here: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11058410/#S4.4

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Cryonics p(success) estimates are only weakly associated with interest in pursuing cryonics in the LW 2023 Survey
Andy_McKenzie2y42

Thanks for the comment. I'm definitely not assuming that p(success) would be a monocausal explanation. I'm mostly presenting this data to give evidence against that assumption, because people frequently make statements such as "of course almost nobody wants cryonics, they don't expect it will work". 

I also agree that "is being revived good in expectation / good with what probability" is another common concern. Personally, I think niplav has some good analysis of net-negative revival scenarios: https://niplav.site/considerations_on_cryonics.html

Btw, according to the author, 'Lena' is largely a critique of exploitive capitalism: https://qntm.org/uploading 

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On the future of language models
Andy_McKenzie2y40

Very high-effort, comprehensive post. Any interest in making some of your predictions into markets on Manifold or some other prediction market website? Might help get some quantifications. 

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26How likely is brain preservation to work?
9mo
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101Refactoring cryonics as structural brain preservation
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32Being against involuntary death and being open to change are compatible
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28Cryonics p(success) estimates are only weakly associated with interest in pursuing cryonics in the LW 2023 Survey
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31Why wasn't preservation with the goal of potential future revival started earlier in history?
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121Transcript of Sam Altman's interview touching on AI safety
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39Brain preservation to prevent involuntary death: a possible cause area
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36A review of cryonics/brain preservation in 2016
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2How computational approaches can contribute to brain preservation research
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13Stand-up comedy as a way to improve rationality skills
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