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Comment author: Dentin 27 April 2015 02:24:42AM 1 point [-]

When I ran the numbers, I came up with a change from 50% to 55% on my odds of surviving to the year 2100. It's definitely not much, but I deemed it worthwhile. It's also substantially more than the gain I would get if I were to divert that money towards a charity like the SENS organization, even though donating to SENS would almost certainly be a higher global optimum.

No, I don't have the previous calculations around anymore. I'll probably be redoing them in the next couple of years to make sure it's still worthwhile.

Comment author: AngryParsley 27 April 2015 09:57:05AM *  7 points [-]

Is that 50-55% estimate conditional on no civilizational collapse or extinction event? Either way, it seems very optimistic. According to current actuarial estimates, a 30 year-old has about a 50% chance of living another 50 years. For life expectancy to dramatically increase, a lot of things have to fall into place over the next half-century. If you think anti-aging tech will be available in 30 years, consider how medicine has advanced in the past 30. Unless there are significant breakthroughs, we're sunk. I'm signed up for cryo and I donate to SENS, but my estimates are much more pessimistic than yours.

In response to Rationalist Sport
Comment author: AngryParsley 18 June 2014 08:16:29AM 5 points [-]

The real answer is: Whatever you can get yourself to do regularly.

If you don't exercise regularly, deciding on a sport is like a picking a programming language before you've learned even one of them. There is no one-size-fits-all sport or exercise. It really depends on your interests, physical abilities, social circle, the weather, what's near you, etc. This discussion might help give people ideas, but so could a list of sports. The most important thing is to get out there and do something.

Also, your quoted example sounds like a just-so story. I thought bowling and football were popular because they're an excuse to drink with friends.

Comment author: CronoDAS 16 April 2014 04:24:37AM 1 point [-]

Apparently SSL v2 is vulnerable to man-in-the-middle attacks, but it's only used by obsolete browsers (IE v6) and it can't leak your data if you don't use it. So this particular vulnerability is not one I personally need to worry about, but secure servers are supposed to have SSL v2 disabled - and if it isn't, it generally means that the people who set up the server either don't know what they're doing or don't care.

Comment author: AngryParsley 16 April 2014 09:52:14AM 0 points [-]

I think Eugine_Nier means to imply (and I would agree) that anybody using SSL2 is incompetent when it comes to security.

If you have a significant amount of money in your account, I recommend asking your bank about multi-factor authentication. I had to pay a small fee for it, but Wells Fargo gave me an RSA token for my accounts. Its use is required when transferring funds to other banks. So even if my password is stolen, my money is safe. Silicon Valley Bank has a similar scheme using SMS authentication.

Comment author: Gunnar_Zarncke 15 April 2014 09:28:45AM *  1 point [-]

The questions raised cry for a poll:

When you first heard about Heartbleed, did you fail to react? (Normalcy bias)

When you first learned about the risk, what probability did you assign to being affected by it? (enter 0.0 if not affected)

What probability do you assign now? (Optimism bias) (enter 0.0 if not affected)

Were you surprised to find out that someone in your life did not know about Heartbleed, and regret not telling them when it had occurred to you to tell them? (Bystander effect)

EDIT: The second option should read "I did tell other people delayed" (poll options cannot be altered later)

What did you think it was going to take to address Heartbleed? Did you underestimate what it would take to address it competently? (Dunning-Kruger effect)

After reading news sources on Heartbleed instructions, were you surprised later that some of them were wrong?

How much time did you think it would take to address the issue? Enter the time in days, enter 0.0 to see results.

Did it take longer? (Planning fallacy) Enter the ''factor'' it took longer than expected (e.g. if it took double as long enter 2.0; to see results enter 1.0).

Did you ignore Heartbleed? (Ostrich effect)


I would have posted this in Main because it is totally applicable to practical rationality and real risks and it is well written and sourced. That it is somewhat specialized and contains (very good!) technical advice shouldn't matter (this is still much better and more applicable that relaying purely personal experiences which were also OK earlier). But my judgement on this issue cannot be trusted.

Submitting...

Comment author: AngryParsley 15 April 2014 05:09:56PM 7 points [-]

For #1, "I reacted immediately" and "I reacted when the urgency became evident" are probably the same thing for most people. I heard about the bug 20 minutes after it was announced, from the Cloudflare blog of all places. Not even USN had posted about it. I patched my servers within an hour, and spent the next 5 hours waiting for my CA to respond to my revocation and re-key requests. Apparently they were inundated.

On the bright side, I prepared for security issues like this. I used multi-factor auth for our admin tools and perfect forward secrecy cipher suites for our TLS. Even with our private key, previously recorded traffic cannot be decrypted. And if an attacker got ahold of our passwords, they would still need to steal our YubiKeys to get access to our admin tools.

Hooray for being paranoid about security.

Comment author: Bugmaster 14 December 2011 06:24:33PM 0 points [-]

I see, that makes sense, but I think that you might be better off with a hybrid approach: build an index first, and do real-time search on all files that have been changed, and thus haven't been [re-]indexed yet. I'm not sure if any of the existing systems do that, but it's worth checking out. Of course, if your codebase is relatively small, performance won't be much of a problem...

Comment author: AngryParsley 13 February 2014 04:12:16PM *  0 points [-]

An update for those who are curious: Ag is now the 11th most-starred C repository on GitHub. It's more popular than memcached or Arduino. It will soon surpass XBMC to become #10. People freakin' love it.

Comment author: hyporational 03 February 2014 03:16:45AM 4 points [-]

Persistent dry eyes is probably the most significant risk. Sounds minor, but isn't.

Comment author: AngryParsley 10 February 2014 09:11:48AM *  0 points [-]

The risk of dry eye is because LASIK cuts a flap in the cornea, severing many of the nerves that sense irritation and dryness. Other procedures like epi-LASEK or PRK don't involve cutting into the cornea, so their risk of dry eye is much lower. Unfortunately, those procedures are more painful and take months to heal. They involve scraping the epithelial cells off of your cornea, zapping your eye, and then letting them grow back. On the bright side, there is no flap that can be dislodged by a blow to the eye.

I got wavefront-guided epi-LASEK a few years ago. My vision went from 20/200 to 20/15. It can be pricey ($5k), but it's definitely the best money I've ever spent.

Comment author: AngryParsley 16 October 2013 08:35:15AM *  3 points [-]

I defy your assertion that both societies are similarly happy. Unless the telepath society is extremely accepting of fringe thoughts, it's going to be worse. Knowing that others will read your thoughts and judge you for them causes you to censor yourself. But at that point, it's already too late. People will know that you thought of something objectionable and suppressed it out of fear of judgement.

Really though, the two options are silly. Ems allow for so many more possibilities. A society in which people could voluntarily expose their thoughts would have quite a few advantages. Ditto for a society with perfect (optional, voluntary) lie detection.

Comment author: Technoguyrob 12 August 2013 03:06:53PM 4 points [-]

Do you have an Amazon wish list? You are awesome.

Comment author: AngryParsley 13 August 2013 06:23:37PM 3 points [-]

I do not. Your praise is more than enough.

Also, I have pretty much everything I want that can be ordered off Amazon.

Comment author: AngryParsley 12 August 2013 11:56:02AM *  22 points [-]

My co-founder and I launched Floobits, a tool for remote pair programming. We'd been soft-launched and were slowly growing through word of mouth, but we hadn't tried to get publicity or told the world that we're a Y Combinator startup.

We got coverage on:

...and a couple other places I've forgotten about.

I also wrote an insubstantial post about getting into YC. It doesn't contain any special hints, just a summary of the journey so far.

Demo day is next week, so maybe I should have waited to post in this thread. :)

Comment author: HungryHippo 06 March 2013 09:13:01PM 14 points [-]

This sounds like simple confirmation bias to me.

The number of times something interesting happens is probably much lower than the number of times something un-interesting happens. But the former are the only ones you notice, because they are interesting.

Comment author: AngryParsley 06 March 2013 11:22:49PM 7 points [-]

That was my first thought as well.

My second thought was, "Somebody needs to clean their desk."

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