Arkanj3l

I wrote this post up and circulated it among my rationalist friends. I've copied it verbatim. I figure the more rationally inclined people that can critique my plan the better. -- TL;DR: * I'm going to commit to biomedical engineering for a very specific set of reasons related to career...

I'm having trouble understanding the process I should use when I am considering new models as they might apply to old data, like memories. This is primarily when reasoning with respect to qualitative models, like those that come out of development psychology, business, or military strategy. These models can be...

Related: Repository Repository It would be cool if we had a repository for the Outside/calibrated view for how long commonplace tasks take. This way we can help one another get around the planning fallacy to a certain degree. Nothing beats direct measurement, but we can possibly save energy if enough...

Want to save time? Skip down to "I'm looking to compile a thread on Internet Research"! Opinionated Preamble: There is a lot of high level thinking on Less Wrong, which is great. It's done wonders to structure and optimize my own decisions. I think the political and futurology-related issues that...

I've found most graphing software too clunky, or having too much mental friction, for my purpose of creating graphically represented plans, to convert written diagrams into digital form, or to do preference inference based on the structure of my goals (amongst other things). So far the only tool that I've...

Discussion article for the meetup : Vancouver Big Public Meetup WHEN: 09 August 2012 06:06:06PM (-0800) WHERE: Benny's Bagels 2505 W Broadway Vancouver, BC Excelsior Rationalists! Tomorrow is the Big Monthly Meetup at Benny's Bagels, replete with Capital Letters and other assorted foodstuffs. Tomorrow's meetup is casual, so there will...

I still can't see the relevance of Bayesian Statistics over Frequentist Statistics, and I take Less Wrong as evidence that this is a cause for clarification. I'm looking for a historical narrative of the development of mathematics that tells me what mistake lead to frequentism over Bayesianism, which is supposedly...