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You could look on the surveys: what questions are closest to 50%?
In response to
Where does our community disagree about meaningful issues?
From the 2014 Survey:
Polyamory:
- 51.8% prefer monogamous, 15.1% prefer polyamorous (a lot uncertain)
- But only 5.3% have more than 1 partner
Children:
- 36.1% want more child(ren), 28.3% uncertain, 34.3% don't want more
Politics:
- 38.9% Social Democratic, 27.7% Liberal, 25.2% Libertarian
- Taxes: 3.14 +- 1.212 (1 = should be lower; 5 = should be higher)
- Minimum Wage: 3.21 +- 1.359 (1 = should be lower; 5 = should be higher)
- Social Justice: 3.15 +- 1.385 (1 = negative view; 5 = positive view)
Ethics:
- 60% accept or lean towards consequentialism
- Out of constructivism, error theory, non-cognitivism, subjectivism and substantive realism, none had more than a third
Cryo:
- 24% don't want to, 36.7% considering, 30.8% signed up or want to be
- Probability that a person frozen today will be revived: 22.3 +- 27.3% (median 10%)
Misc:
- p(many worlds) = 47.6% +- 30.1%
Sounds like this could work.
Well, depends on how large fraction of votes currently comes from users with karma under 250. It would be bad to reduce the total number of votes drastically. They do have a positive role, in general; most people use them correctly.
Good point. I'm not sure what the right threshold would be.
How difficult would it be to look up the percentage of votes that come from different karma levels?
In response to
[moderator action] The_Lion and The_Lion2 are banned
What if we set a significantly higher karma threshold for voting? I think a threshold of 250 or so would make Eugene's sockpuppetry and mass-downvoting shenanigans prohibitively difficult.
I'm working through the udacity deep learning course right now, and I'm always trying to learn more things on the MIRI research guide. I'm in a fairly different timezone, but my schedule is pretty flexible. Maybe we can work something out?
I just finished Stanford's machine learning class on Coursera and I was thinking about starting Google's Udacity course.
I don't have much formal background in CS (2 classes in college and later a couple Coursera classes), but I've been working as a software engineer for a few years now.
I am in U.S. Eastern Time (UTC-4).
In response to
Study partner matching thread
Machine Learning for Good is A machine learning and deep learning study group for EAs and rationalists that I'm facilitating.
It includes a study group for the current Udacity Tensorflow/Deep Learning course. I'm not going to repost further info here, one can access it through the following group:
https://m.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1582428355359588&tsid=0.6936991019174457&source=typeahead
The Facebook group is closed. Should people here assume that they will be allowed to join?
Study partner matching thread
Nate Soares recommends pairing up when studying, so I figured it would be useful to facilitate that.
If you are looking for a study partner, please post a top-level comment saying:
- What you want to study
- Your level of relevant background knowledge
- If you have sources in mind (MOOCs, textbooks, etc), what those are
- Your time zone
In response to
Open Thread, January 4-10, 2016
I've gotten around to doing a cost-benefit analysis for vitamin D: http://www.gwern.net/Longevity#vitamin-d
Thanks for posting that!
The key stats: expected life extension: 4 months; optimal starting age: 24.
In response to
LINK: An example of the Pink Flamingo, the obvious-yet-overlooked cousin of the Black Swan
I was wondering about the state of the deterrence in place against nuclear weapons usage, having always assumed it to be massive, and I can't tell if there's actually any formal international treaty about the use of nuclear weapons in war.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_weapons_of_mass_destruction_treaties has arms-reduction, non-proliferation, and test ban treaties, but apparently nothing about who you actually nuke. I think Geneva says you can't target civilians with any weapon, but does anything prohibit nuking your enemy's army?
In response to
comment
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on
LINK: An example of the Pink Flamingo, the obvious-yet-overlooked cousin of the Black Swan
If things escalate to the point where nuclear weapons get used, that probably implies enough of a breakdown of order that it doesn't matter what any treaty says.
In response to
Low Hanging fruit for buying a better life
My skin (particularly my hands, because soap is harsh) is prone to drying out, so a humidifier really reduces small issues.
So does mine. The humidifier helps, but since I spend a lot of time in environments where I can't easily install one (eg work), I also use moisturizer.
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How important is money?
Are EA causes bottlenecked on money or talent?