Recently Garett Jones made a few tweets implying that the existence of entities with a very wide power differential today is evidence that super intelligence won't lead to Doom.
It is a reasonable argument. If the powerful today think it's better to trade with the powerless than to destroy them and take what they have, and trade is so beneficial in general, and war so costly, why would it be different for the even more powerful?
Unfortunately I think the position is based on an incomplete understanding of what AGI changes about the nature of trade and war.
Right now, due to lots of reasons, humans are the most valuable things. Most of the value... (read 294 more words →)
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Yvain, in the "Referrals" section I feel the wording is a little ambiguous in what you should do if you were referred by Overcoming Bias but you've not "Been here since it was started in the Overcoming Bias days". I think you should answer "Referred by a link on another blog or website" on the first one and write "Overcoming Bias" in the second question despite the "other than Overcoming Bias" in it. But I'm not completely confident that this is what you would expect, or if other people would read it the same way.