Comment author: ChristianKl 09 October 2016 07:51:08PM 2 points [-]

Actually, Big Pharma would LOSE billions if it works. There are only a few anti-virals, and none of them work well, and most need to be used in combinations.

No. Gilead manages to charge it's 1000$ per pill for an antiviral. If Draco for all viruses works it could also be sold for a similar price for a bunch of conditions like AIDS.

You could argue say that Gilead isn't really Big Pharma but Biotech but it still shows that there are companies that have no problem with bringing cures to market. Gilead also makes a lot of money.

The company that would bring a working drug to market that cures drugs like AIDS would make a lot of money even if a few other companies might lose billions from it.

Comment author: CellBioGuy 11 October 2016 12:14:40AM *  1 point [-]

Worth noting that if I understand the mode of action of these proteins and have correctly read the tested dosages in the papers out thus far, a treatment would be more along the lines of the antibody immunotherapy infusions that people get for some types of cancer than a pill for a systemic effect, with localized versions like a nebulizer applied to things like a strong lung infection. And it's likely to cause a temporary inflammatory effect as lots of cells (including ones with no viral infection or latent viruses that everyone and I mean everyone has) blow up. You probably don't take this for a cold.

Comment author: CarlShulman 07 October 2016 12:19:07AM 5 points [-]

Primates and eukaryotes would be good.

Comment author: CellBioGuy 07 October 2016 11:09:11PM *  3 points [-]

The short version before I get a chance to write more posts:

Primates appear to be an interestingly potentiated lineage, prone to getting smart when they get large, due to differences in brain development established 50 megayears ago that make their brains much more impressive per unit volume than most larger mammals. The great apes other than humans actually seem to run into energetic limits to feeding their brains and have smaller brains than you'd expect for a primate of their size, while humans are right on the generic primate trendline. Birds are another potentiated lineage - their brains are about 6x as compact as a comparable primate brain.

Eukaryotes are really weird. The one thing that is incontrovertible these days is that the classic 3-domains-of-life idea, with eukaryotes and archaea as sister clades, is turning out to be wrong. Eukaryotes are turning out to have come from a fusion/symbiosis of a bacterium and something that fits entirely within the archaeal domain. Various people who are studying their origin and evolution have their pet models and hold to them too tightly and fight each other bitterly, though some things are finally coming out for sure. A lot of their weird features may come from particular population genetic selective pressures that come from competition between copies of the mitochondrial genome, and a lot of others may come from the fact that they invented sex and have low population sizes both of which allow types of evolution and genetic drift that you are much less likely to see in the eubacteria or archaebacteria, the two 'primary' domains (whose separation represent the deepest branch in the tree of life). But the fact that ALL eukaryotes have a huge constellation of weird traits with no intermediate forms means their origin was a weird event, and opinions vary on if that means it was a singular extremely unlikely event or if all those weird properties come logically from how they formed, and on if there was strong first-mover-advantage.

And, of course, our data on the breadth of life that exists on Earth is incomplete... I love the specialized journals on electron microscopy, now and then you see a paper where someone just sees something really bizarre and reports on what they saw without a clue as to what it is. If you want a really perplexing paper, take a look at this: http://jmicro.oxfordjournals.org/content/61/6/423.full.pdf+html (alternately https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/67168735/a%20unique%20organism%20from%20the%20deep%20sea.pdf ) "A Unique Microorganism from the Deep Sea"

Comment author: SodaPopinski 06 October 2016 11:52:27AM 3 points [-]

CellBioGuy all your astrobiology posts are great I'd be happy to read all of those. This may be off the astrobiology topic but I would love to see a post with your opinion on the foom question. For example do you agree with Gwern's post about there not being complexity limitations preventing runaway self-improving agents?

Comment author: CellBioGuy 07 October 2016 10:54:35PM *  2 points [-]

I generally have very low confidence in singulatarian ideas of any stripe, 'foom' or non. Partially for sociological analysis-of-the-origin-of-singulatarian-and-related-ideas reasons. Partially for astrobiological reasons relating to the fact that nothing has ever consumed a star system or sent self replicating anythings between stars and my impression of the range of possible outcomes of intelligent living things that are not extinction or controlling the universe and the possible frequencies of things something like us. Partially because I think that many people everywhere misattribute the causes of recent changes to the world and where they are going and have short time horizons. Partially because I am pretty sure that diminishing returns applies to absolutely everything in this world aside from black hole growth.

I can't say I've read Gwern's analysis of computational complexity, but I do note that in the messy complicated poorly-sampled real world you can very very seldom actually KNOW enough to predict much of a lot of types of events with great precision.

Comment author: DavidPlumpton 07 October 2016 06:33:06AM 1 point [-]

Have you ever seen this paper that claims a complexity analysis of the Viking lander experiment results can't be explained by chemistry alone? Interesting stuff...

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/257958533_Complexity_Analysis_of_the_Viking_Labeled_Release_Experiments

Comment author: CellBioGuy 07 October 2016 10:44:20PM *  1 point [-]

Now I have!

I think their case is weak but it is something to continue to be considered when analyzing any new data. There's weird soil chemistry there for sure, a good deal of which might be explicable from the interaction between perclorate and small amounts of organics, but the amount of data is tiny and I would not rule out soil microbes. A lot more work has to be done before you can say much with confidence.

Comment author: ChristianKl 03 October 2016 08:42:52PM 11 points [-]
Comment author: CellBioGuy 05 October 2016 10:25:29PM 1 point [-]

A sudden side-hustle idea solidifies...

Comment author: scarcegreengrass 05 October 2016 07:42:56PM 0 points [-]

Not new, possibly not interesting to anyone beside me. A 2013 astrobiology paper that explores an odd corner of the Fermi Paradox. The paper explores the bizarre perspective that Earth life was seeded by extraterrestrial life (directed panspermia) as a form of information backup. Our biosphere's junk DNA, in this scenario, stores information valuable to the extraterrestrial system.

https://arxiv.org/abs/1303.6739

Comment author: CellBioGuy 05 October 2016 10:23:55PM 1 point [-]
Comment author: ChristianKl 05 October 2016 09:00:42PM 6 points [-]

Our biosphere's junk DNA

Junk DNA generally doesn't survive that long in evolutionary timescales because there's nothing that prevents mutations. It seems a bad information storage system.

Comment author: CellBioGuy 05 October 2016 10:18:27PM *  1 point [-]

Indeed it is seen easily when comparing multiple related species as it is that which changes very fast and seemingly randomly (and uniformly).

Comment author: CellBioGuy 04 October 2016 10:00:49PM *  11 points [-]

Advice solicited. Topics of interest I have lined up for upcoming posts include:

  • The history of life on Earth and its important developments
  • The nature of the last universal common ancestor (REALLY good new research on this just came out)
  • The origin of life and the different schools of thought on it
  • Another exploration of time in which I go over a paper that came out this summer that basically did exactly what I did a few months earlier with my "Space and Time Part II" calculations of our point in star and planet order that showed we are not early and are right around when you would expect to find the average biosphere, but extended it to types of stars and their lifetimes in a way I think I can improve upon.
  • My thoughs on how and why SETI has been sidetracked away from activities that are more likely to be productive towards activities that are all but doomed to fail, with a few theoretical case studies
  • My thoughts on how the Fermi paradox / 'great filter' is an ill-posed concept
  • Interesting recent research on the apparent evolutionary prerequisites for primate intelligence

Any thoughts on which of these are of particular interest, or other ideas to delve into?

Comment author: CellBioGuy 04 October 2016 09:45:01PM 0 points [-]

Advice solicited. Topics of interest I have lined up for upcoming posts include:

  • The history of life on Earth and it's important developments
  • The nature of the last universal common ancestor (REALLY good new research on this just came out)
  • The origin of life and the different schools of thought on it
  • Another exploration of time in which I go over a paper that came out this summer that basically does exactly what I did a few months earlier with my calculations of our point in star and planet order, and extends it to types of stars and their lifetimes in a way I think I can improve upon.
  • My thoughs on how SETI has been sidetracked away from activities that are more likely to be productive towards activities that are all but doomed to fail, with a few theoretical case studies
  • My thoughts on how the Fermi paradox is ill-posed
  • Interesting recent research on the apparent evolutionary prerequisites for primate intelligence

Any thoughts on which of these are of particular interest, or other ideas to delve into?

Comment author: CellBioGuy 04 October 2016 09:32:22PM 0 points [-]

Advice solicited. Topics of interest I have lined up for upcoming posts include:

  • The history of life on Earth and it's important developments
  • The nature of the last universal common ancestor (REALLY good new research on this just came out)
  • The origin of life and the different schools of thought on it
  • Another exploration of time in which I go over a paper that came out this summer that basically does exactly what I did a few months earlier with my calculations of our point in star and planet order, and extends it to types of stars and their lifetimes in a way I think I can improve upon.
  • My thoughs on how SETI has been sidetracked away from activities that are more likely to be productive towards activities that are all but doomed to fail, with a few theoretical case studies
  • My thoughts on how the Fermi paradox is ill-posed
  • Interesting recent research on the apparent evolutionary prerequisites for primate intelligence

Any thoughts on which of these are of particular interest, or other ideas to delve into?

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