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CronoDAS
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9CronoDAS's Shortform
2y
10
Interview with Kelsey Piper on Self-Censorship and the Vibe Shift
CronoDAS41m20

Possibly pointless nitpick:

When it comes to things like lesbian firefighters, beware base rates! There are a lot more heterosexual women than homosexual women, so it can still be true that, even though the percentage of lesbians who become firefighters is greater than the percentage of straight women who become firefighters, most women that are firefighters are not lesbians.

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CFAR update, and New CFAR workshops
CronoDAS2d*74

Duncan was very unhappy with his experience and his treatment as a CFAR employee and his interactions with Anna Salamon in particular, including being pressured into doing things against his better judgment. If he prefers not to go into details, I'll respect his wishes, but after following him for a while I've got somewhat of a handle on what happened.

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[Retracted] Guess I Was Wrong About AIxBio Risks
CronoDAS2d40

This is definitely a warning shot, but it's not quite there yet. Being able to infect and kill cells in a lab isn't necessarily enough for a virus survive "in the wild"; it has to be able to survive environmental conditions and immune responses, reproduce itself inside the cells, and then be transmitted to new hosts. Still, this could definitely end up being pretty scary in a hurry.

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Transgender Sticker Fallacy
CronoDAS3d*70

Weight is such an extreme determinative factor in combat sports that an untrained 250-pound couch potato could walk into any boxing gym and absolutely demolish a 100-pound opponent with decades of training.

You later link to a video of an early UFC match in which a much heavier person is beaten by a much lighter person when the lighter person kicks him in the face. But yes, that doesn't happen very often, especially when both are fighting in the same style.

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This is a review of the reviews
CronoDAS3d20

The point being that not having (mathematically) simple and low-dimensional values doesn't make for values that aren't going to produce something incredibly useless. The most "complex" thing in the world is random noise.

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Teaching My Toddler To Read
CronoDAS11d20

Dr. Seuss is also generally fun for adults to read to children. (The illustrations do a tremendous amount of work in that regard.)

Related: https://youtu.be/mZYu7DnsCF0?si=Gn0pZhlGlM-SXGNU

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The Rise of Parasitic AI
CronoDAS12d40

I also noticed the similarity!

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Teaching My Toddler To Read
CronoDAS12d40

Has he read Green Eggs and Ham?

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How To Dress To Improve Your Epistemics
CronoDAS12d20

So more like this guy, then?

Reply1
By default, capital will matter more than ever after AGI
CronoDAS13d42

See also this old Noah Smith piece about the implications of automated armies.

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23Cryonics without standby services?
Q
2mo
Q
4
41I wrote a song parody
2mo
3
19Possible AI regulation emergency?
Q
4mo
Q
1
11Game theory of "Nuclear Prisoner's Dilemma" - on nuking rocks
Q
5mo
Q
6
12AI for medical care for hard-to-treat diseases?
Q
9mo
Q
1
24"25 Lessons from 25 Years of Marriage" by honorary rationalist Ferrett Steinmetz
1y
2
-11"How the Gaza Health Ministry Fakes Casualty Numbers"
1y
9
9CronoDAS's Shortform
2y
10
19The two paragraph argument for AI risk
2y
8
13[Link] Escape the Echo Chamber (2018)
3y
0
Load More
Glitch Tokens
2 years ago
(+18/-25)
Blues & Greens (metaphor)
13 years ago
(+7/-7)
Hollywood Rationality
16 years ago
(+46/-13)
Hollywood Rationality
16 years ago
(+68)
Squiggle Maximizer (formerly "Paperclip maximizer")
16 years ago
Squiggle Maximizer (formerly "Paperclip maximizer")
16 years ago
(+331)