Capitalism is a force that has lifted billions out of poverty, where even poor remote villagers enjoy luxuries that would have been unimaginable to medieval kings. When someone takes a job, even the worst job, it’s because both parties expect mutual gain. And yet companies routinely get accused of exploiting...
It's a great time to start an AI company. You can create a product in days that would have been unbelievable just two years ago. Thanks to AI, there will soon be a one-person billion-dollar company. It's a terrible time to start an AI company. The singularity is fast approaching,...
AI is here, and AGI is coming. It's quite possible that any work being done now will be futile in comparison to reducing AI risk. This is one of those things that's unsettling for me as someone who did a Ph. D. in a non-AI area of computer science. But...
This is a linkpost for https://acoup.blog/2022/03/11/collections-nuclear-deterrence-101/ . I found it a very good read for explaining the strategy behind the decisions and signaling in this war. I was inspired to post it as a supplement to https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WX7tpnBCHWrmJcDym/why-a-no-fly-zone-would-be-the-biggest-gift-to-putin-and-why , as this piece explains why it's in Zelensky's interest to continue to...
This is adapted from a segment of a talk I gave last year, primarily the portion at 6:09:00-6:11:00 of this stream. The example in this article originates from my paper "A Language for Counterfactual Generative Models," specifically Appendix A, which also features code for this example. I originally learned the...
This is a linkpost for Martyn Thomas's What Really Happened in Y2K and its associated talk recording. Some spoke of a terrible catastrophe coming inevitably. They said the death toll could be in the millions, if not higher. An alarm was raised, but few paid attention. But soon it became...