The article's main idea is(can be?) that in all possible scenarios, the best one for Humanity is the loss of Putin's Empire.
It is hard to understand it without comparing it to the outcomes of all other scenarios. Because in each scenario after the start of a full-scale invasion, all scenarios are massive devastation for Humanity - we can choose only less devastation among all.
I think the idea is about the "Russian World". Putin and his elite used it almost always when trying to explain what they wanted to do. They always built their propaganda around "supreme russians" and other nations that "have no rights to exist".
We ended the voting about place and date and now place and time of meetup are final =)
Hello all =)
I am reading LW more that one year. I organized book club meetups about HPMOR in Kyiv, Ukraine in past (https://vk.com/hpmor_meeting and https://vk.com/efficient_reading5)
Now i start to organization process of first general LW meetup in Kyiv, our google group: http://groups.google.com/d/forum/LessWrong-Kyiv
On the first meet we will discuss Daniel Kahneman`s "Thinking, Fast and Slow" book in addition to what we will do in the future =)
Please, if you can - give any useful suggestions about what and how first meetup must be done (i have read LW pdf file about how to organize meetups).
Can you please provide analysis where Ukraine side losses are 200k people and Russia side are 400k people?