Comment author: wedrifid 03 February 2014 08:38:20AM *  6 points [-]

The best argument against democracy is a five minute conversation with the average voter.

I observe that by their very nature claims that something is the "best argument against X" can more readily support X than undermine it.

Rejecting all the arguments against democracy that are better than said five minute conversation constitutes rather comprehensive support for democracy. (It rules out considerations of the various failure modes, perverse incentives and biases that are associated with such a system.)

Comment author: Fronken 04 February 2014 09:56:34PM *  0 points [-]

He never said they were "rejected" or "ruled out". Just weaker than the conversation - which I assume is because the average person is much worse than you, as cultured political disputant, experience.

Probably not true, still, unless you have the raw mind power to deduce all the flaws of the human mind from that mere conversation. And even then, only maybe.

Comment author: Eugine_Nier 21 September 2013 07:34:13PM 1 point [-]

Oh, and some of the less rational ones might worry that this was an indicator that I was a dangerous psychopath.

Why is this irrational? Having a fantasy of doing X means your more likely to do X.

Comment author: Fronken 20 October 2013 10:23:56PM *  1 point [-]

Taking it as Bayesian evidence: arguably rational, although it's so small your brain might round it up just to keep track of it, so it's risky; and it may actually be negative (because psychopaths might be less likely to tell you something that might give them away.)

Worrying about said evidence: definitely irrational. Understandable, of course, with the low sanity waterline and all...

Comment author: hesperidia 18 September 2013 07:08:53AM *  7 points [-]

I'm honestly not embarrassed by this story because it's "smug and disrespectful", I'm embarrassed because the more I stare at it the more it looks like a LWy applause light (which I had not originally intended).

Comment author: Fronken 20 September 2013 09:45:12PM 3 points [-]

Upvoted for mention of "applause lights".

Comment author: Lumifer 18 September 2013 08:07:28PM 2 points [-]

...horrified by the social unacceptability of his fantasy life

What would be the reaction of your social circle if you told your friends that in private you dream about kidnapping young girls and then raping and torturing them, about their hoarse screams of horror as you slowly strangle them...

Just fantasy life, of course :-/

Comment author: Fronken 20 September 2013 09:31:52PM *  0 points [-]

Weirded out at the oversharing, obviously.

Assuming the context was one where sharing this somehow fit ... somewhat squicked, but I would probably be squicked by some of their fantasies. That's fantasies.

Oh, and some of the less rational ones might worry that this was an indicator that I was a dangerous psychopath. Probably the same ones who equate "pedophile" with "pedophile who fantasises about kidnap, rape, torture and murder" ,':-. I dunno.

Comment author: PhilGoetz 07 September 2013 08:21:14PM *  2 points [-]

I think it's a question of what you program in, and what you let it figure out for itself. If you want to prove formally that it will behave in certain ways, you would like to program in explicitly, formally, what its goals mean. But I think that "human pleasure" is such a complicated idea that trying to program it in formally is asking for disaster. That's one of the things that you should definitely let the AI figure out for itself. Richard is saying that an AI as smart as a smart person would never conclude that human pleasure equals brain dopamine levels.

Eliezer is aware of this problem, but hopes to avoid disaster by being especially smart and careful. That approach has what I think is a bad expected value of outcome.

Comment author: Fronken 14 September 2013 05:06:53PM *  1 point [-]

I think that "human pleasure" is such a complicated idea that trying to program it in formally is asking for disaster. That's one of the things that you should definitely let the AI figure out for itself.

[...]

Eliezer is aware of this problem, but hopes to avoid disaster by being especially smart and careful. That approach has what I think is a bad expected value of outcome.

Huh I thought he wanted to use CEV?

Comment author: JoshuaZ 14 September 2013 01:49:27AM *  2 points [-]

I'm not sure what your point is with those two quotes. Are you trying to say that OrphanWilde already addressed what I was saying? If so, the points are different: Orphan was discussing was how distinct groups have different standards. The point I was making that in small geographic areas one can have a large number of groups with different standards that all have to interact with each other. And the example of the Modern Orthodox showed, even within a small, superficially uniform group, there can be a lot of variation.

Comment author: Fronken 14 September 2013 03:13:14PM *  2 points [-]

Sorry I thought you were pointing out something Orphan had acknowledged already - that's a different point. Retracted & upvoted.

Comment author: [deleted] 07 May 2013 12:30:40AM *  0 points [-]

Hang on, I don't think that feminism is non-disprovable! If you think I do then you've misinterpreted me in a big way.

I don't agree that feminism is an instrumentally rational theory, I think it's justifiable (and justified) on moral grounds. It doesn't (or shouldn't) make any predictions about the way the world actually is or will be because it isn't a science, it's an ethics, and ethical theories make predictions about how the world should be.

Of course, that makes it harder to disprove but not impossible. If I thought that morals were totally relative and non-disprovable then I'd give up on them altogether and s̶t̶a̶r̶t̶ ̶b̶u̶i̶l̶d̶i̶n̶g̶ ̶a̶ ̶t̶o̶w̶e̶r̶-̶o̶'̶-̶d̶o̶o̶m do whatever I wanted without thinking hard about whether or not it was right. I really do believe that consequentialism is the way to a correct theory of ethics, and I think that it leads to feminism, given our current situation.

EDIT: see ̶s̶t̶r̶i̶k̶e̶t̶h̶r̶o̶u̶g̶h̶

In response to comment by [deleted] on LW Women- Female privilege
Comment author: Fronken 13 September 2013 08:07:34PM 0 points [-]

2nd try replying to this, since people worried first was hard to parse:

I think that sexism is mostly folk psychology - false when tested, but not untestable given smart experimenters. Thus, feminism predicts that sexist hypotheses are not the way the world actually is, and that's empirical.

But, there are a lot of people rallying under flags with "feminism" on them, and they vary widely. So many of them probably just assume the current facts as we know them (good) and so merely claim that under those facts certain things may be wrong, ethically. And you have others who actually believe sexist claims but still want to be called feminist. So maybe tabooing is needed.

Comment author: gjm 13 September 2013 07:21:50PM 1 point [-]

I think one problem is what wedrifid says: it is difficult to work out what your comment actually means.

  • "the empirical claims of feminism are now successful": what does it mean for an empirical claim to be successful? Is that the same as "true", or something else?
  • "but they did exist": why "but"? what's the opposition between existing and "being successful"?

I gather that you were disagreeing with Argency's statement that feminism "doesn't (or shouldn't) make any predictions about the way the world actually is or will be" on the grounds that you consider that feminism does (among other things) make claims about how the world is. Fair enough (and for what it's worth I'd agree), but it seems to me that the obvious diagnosis is that you and Argency disagree about what "feminism" means, in which case merely saying "but it does make empirical claims" doesn't achieve much.

So: two problems. A statement whose meaning is hard to make sense of, treating a disagreement as one about how the world is when it's probably actually more about how to use one particular word. I'd guess that whoever downvoted you had one or both of those in mind.

(I'd also say: being downvoted by one person is not particularly strong evidence of anything; don't get upset about it. But if you find yourself being downvoted a lot, the chances are that either you should change something or else LW just isn't a good place for you.)

Comment author: Fronken 13 September 2013 07:54:46PM 1 point [-]

Ah yeah successful should maybe have been accepted, or universal, or maybe claims should have been arguments. Thanks!

I'd also say: being downvoted by one person is not particularly strong evidence of anything; don't get upset about it.

My first attempt to clarify was downvoted too :(

the obvious diagnosis is that you and Argency disagree about what "feminism" means

... oh. It is a very vague word ... I figured they were just underestimating the coherence of opposing arguments, since it's easy to when the position in question is quite discredited so you don't encounter them... I'll try asking them what they meant, good idea.

Comment author: JoshuaZ 08 May 2013 02:47:38AM 3 points [-]

Getting back on track, the lack of cultural unity was not in fact generally a problem a few decades ago, before the internet. Each community could have its own standards and this wouldn't pose too much of an issue, and this is more or less the way things worked. This system dissolved long before television, which was heavily regulated (hell, they weren't allowed to show belly buttons), became able to seriously impact standards of provocative clothing.

I think you are overestimating pre-internet uniformity here. If for example one spent time in Crown Heights one would have Orthodox Jews, generic African-Americans (mainly Christian), and some Muslim African-Americans. Each group has different ideas of what would constitute provocative clothing. Or to use a different example: when I was an undergrad I was involved in an interfaith Jewish-Muslim group. One thing that struck me was that among many of the Orthodox Jews, women wearing pants was considered what you would probably call provocative, but hair covering wasn't an issue. In contrast, for many of the Muslim women, the reverse held (pants fine, uncovered hair immodest).

Comment author: Fronken 13 September 2013 07:42:27PM *  0 points [-]

ಠ_ಠ

Each community could have its own standards and this wouldn't pose too much of an issue, and this is more or less the way things worked.

The reply:

I think you are overestimating pre-internet uniformity here [...] Each group has different ideas of what would constitute provocative clothing.

Comment author: Desrtopa 06 May 2013 01:44:36AM 14 points [-]

Regarding wolf-whistles and such, it seems like in an ideal world, we'd invent a new obvious signal, like a red bracelet or something, that explicitly showed that a woman enjoyed this sort attention.

If some women set themselves apart in this way with an unambiguous signal, I think they'd attract negative attention from people who disapprove of their attitudes.

It's possible they'd be at increased risk from sexually predatory men, but I think it's even more likely they'd be stigmatized by other women who take it upon themselves to enforce social norms.

Comment author: Fronken 13 September 2013 07:05:53PM *  0 points [-]

That's why only "in an ideal world", methinks.

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