I agree that there's a problem.
If we did open threads more often (once a week, say), I think it would fix the issue. Looking at the current page 1 of the Discussion section, posts from July 4 are still visible.
I agree that the Reddit format would probably work, but it seems inefficient to use another site to be able to operate this one.
I think that this case study gives evidence against attempting to predict the far future being useful
Isn't it evidence for a more narrow conclusion? Specifically, that attempting to precisely predict the far future isn't going to work well? Arrhenius was correct that climate change was going to happen, just wrong about several particulars. Or was he right for so many wrong reasons that it's not worth noting?
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Is there a way to sticky the current open thread to the top of discussion? (and if not, would it be difficult to implement?)
That would be an ideal solution for a person with similar LW browsing habits to me.
Are the open threads important enough that they should always be the top link?