A note on how this post was produced:
Eliezer brain-dumped his thoughts on this open problem to Facebook, and replied to questions there for several hours. Then Robby spent time figuring out how to structure a series of posts that would more clearly explain the open problem, and wrote drafts of those posts. Several people, including Eliezer, commented heavily on various drafts until they reached a publishable form. Louie coordinates the project.
After discussion of the posts on Less Wrong, we may in some cases get someone to write up journal article expositions of some of the ideas in the posts.
The aim is to write up open problems in Friendly AI using as little Eliezer-time as possible. It seems to be working so far.
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Has anyone managed not to Bottom Line in their everyday thinking? I find that it's very difficult. It's so natural and it's a shortcut that I find useful more often than harmful. I wonder if it's best to flag issues where epistemic irrationality would be very bad and primarily focus on avoiding Bottom Lining at times like that. I feel that the things I'm talking about are in a different spirit than those originally intended by the article, where you're not so much emotionally invested in the world being a certain way as you are, say, relying on your intuition as the primary source of evidence for the sake of saving time and avoiding false starts.
The way I see it, having intuitions and trusting them is not necessarily harmful. But you should actually recognize them by what they are: snap judgements made by subconscious heuristics that have little to do with actual arguments you come up with. That way, you can take it as a kind of evidence/argument, instead of a Bottom Line - like an opinion from a supposed expert which tells you the "X is Y", but doesn't have the time to explain. You can then ask: "is this guy really an expert?" and "do other arguments/evidence outweight the expert's opinion?"