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Comment author: novalis 09 July 2012 04:19:59AM 4 points [-]

I wonder if it would be possible to build a wagering/probabilistic Zendo crossbreed. That is, the computer is willing to be Dutch-booked, if you can only correctly estimate the probabilities given some examples. You might even be able to make scenarios representing various failures of rationality, like the Linda example ("green is more likely than red; stars than triangles; smiling than frowning; bouncing than glowing -- now, which is more likely: the star, or the green, bouncing, smiling star?", or the 2-4-6 case, or maybe even the Availability heuristic (the system will be inclined to show you examples where you made a lot of money, in contexts where betting on them would lose you money).

Comment author: InquilineKea 04 July 2017 04:44:58PM 0 points [-]

Recording the set of one's past games would help a lot with relieving the availability heuristic.

Comment author: InquilineKea 13 July 2016 11:35:02PM 1 point [-]

Does anyone know if these tradeoffs occur in organic brain variation between people? It almost seems that the g-factor is so strong as to overwhelm these tradeoffs without tDCS...

Comment author: InquilineKea 05 July 2016 09:21:58PM 0 points [-]

Now with people posting more of their gaming online, many of their gaming experiences don't necessarily go away once they quit the game. In fact, how one plays video games says a lot about one's personality.

I still stay emotionally involved with some of my old AOE2 games many years later (because I record them all), and I still sometimes reel over certain really irrational decisions I made in them.

Comment author: John_Maxwell_IV 29 June 2013 06:01:46PM 2 points [-]

Shouldn't this depend on the area? What if I think I might be the best in the world at a particular video game?

Comment author: InquilineKea 05 July 2016 05:34:22PM *  0 points [-]

Stream it on YouTube/Twitch.

What can we learn from Microsoft's Tay, its inflammatory tweets, and its shutdown?

1 InquilineKea 26 March 2016 03:41AM

http://www.wired.com/2016/03/fault-microsofts-teen-ai-turned-jerk/

Could this be a lesson for future AIs? The AI control problem?

After Go, what games should be next for DeepMind?

4 InquilineKea 10 March 2016 08:49PM

So chess and Go are both games of perfect information. How important is it for the next game that DeepMind is trained on to be a game of perfect information?

How would the AI perform on generalized versions of both chess and Go? What about games like poker and Magic the Gathering?

How realistic do you think it's possible to train DeepMind on games of perfect information (full-map-reveal) against top-ranked players on games like Starcraft, AOE2, Civ, Sins of a Solar Empire, Command and Conquer, and Total War, for example? (in all possible map settings, including ones people don't frequently play at - e.g. start at "high resource" levels). How important is it for the AI to have a diverse set/library of user-created replays to test itself against, for example?

I'm also thinking... Shitty AI has always held back both RTS and TBS games.. Is it possible that we're only a few years away from non-shitty AI in all RTS and TBS games? Or is the AI in many of these games too hard-coded in to actually matter? (e.g. I know some people who develop AI for AOE2, and there are issues with AI behavior in the game being hard-coded in - e.g. villagers deleting the building they're building if you simply attack them).

What is the future of nootropic drugs? Why can't there be ones more effective than ones that have existed for 15+ years?

5 InquilineKea 06 March 2016 06:45PM

So Scott Alexander's post at http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/03/01/2016-nootropics-survey-results/ shows that the most "effective" "nootropics" have still been the ones that have existed for a long time. What do these results really mean, though? Is it possible that people are just worse at noticing the subtler effects of the other drugs, or are just much worse at disciplining themselves enough to correctly use the racetams or noopept (as in, with choline)?

How much potential is there in innovation in nootropics? What is holding this innovation back, if anything? It feels like there hasn't been any real progress over the last 15 years (other than massively increased awareness), but could targeted drug discovery (along with people willing to be super-liberal with their experimentation) finally lead to some real breakthroughs?

Comment author: InquilineKea 17 September 2015 06:59:00PM 0 points [-]

Does anyone know if one could convince the Archive Team to archive them? Or does the Archive Team often consist of more difficult personalities?

Comment author: Daniel_Burfoot 18 August 2015 12:07:59AM 1 point [-]

Here is a theory (fox lens viewpoint) of why many people are under economic duress. The problem is not consumerism but producerism:

In the US there are many ambitious, hardworking people who are very excited about their work and career. Such people view work, achievement, and production as its own reward. They primarily value the intellectual satisfaction and social validation that comes from career success; money is less important.

However, even though they don't necessarily value the money that highly, they still get a lot of it, because they are typically quite successful (other things being equal, people who value achievement highly tend to achieve a lot). Because they have obtained quite a bit of money without directly aiming for it, they don't spend a lot of time thinking about how to conserve it. Such a person's inner monologue might run something like this: "I've got to get a job a Google/Facebook/Amazon/Goldman, they're the best in the business, and I want to work with the best people and change the world!... (person works hard to get a relevant degree from a top school, does a lot of networking and side projects, etc etc and finally lands the dream job) ... Okay sweet, now I'm here! This is awesome, now I've got to hit a homerun on this project... oh right and I've got to buy some clothes and a car... how much will that be? $30K....? Seems pricey, but I'm making $150K, so it's no big deal ..."

The point is, because these people have lots of cash that they don't care too much about conserving, they drive prices up for everyone else. Consumer companies orient themselves towards the people who have a lot of cash and don't care too much about getting the best prices; such people probably are the most valuable customers. Other people, who don't love their work and view it as a necessary evil, find that they need to work much harder than they should because of the crazy overachievers who are running up the prices on everything.

Comment author: InquilineKea 22 August 2015 07:52:48PM 1 point [-]

Could producerism also be a major issue in East Asia?

Comment author: InquilineKea 21 July 2015 12:43:52AM 2 points [-]

I can play

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