Kenoubi

Why COVID-19 prevention at the margin might be bad for most LWers

I'm surprised and confused that no one else seems to be saying this, but I think the most extreme measures LWers have been talking about are much more likely to harm than help the world, and probably those LWers themselves. These are things like using copper tape on frequently touched surfaces or leaving packages outdoors for 2 days. Note that I'm not just saying these aren't worth it on net; I think doing them is actively harmful and you should stop. EDITED: A number of people have pointed out concerns that even in those whose acute illness is not severe, there may be significant long-term negative health effects. I definitely wasn't adequately accounting for that. I'm not thrilled about the quality of evidence for this one way or the other, but that's perhaps to be expected for such a new disease. (There's no real way to know how COVID-19 survivors will be doing a year later, yet.) If these effects are much more common than death in the young and healthy, that would be a strong argument against my first point below, and against the overall conclusion of infection being beneficial. I've edited the title slightly to account for these. I still think the rest of these points would point towards infection being less bad than otherwise, and that I've seen a striking lack of people commenting on the fact that some factors point in that direction. From this point on I've left the post as is. Here are my assumptions (I think these are pretty consensus, not extreme weird views): * COVID-19 isn't that bad for the vast majority of young and otherwise healthy people (no worse than a bad flu). * COVID-19 is pretty bad for the elderly and people with other serious chronic conditions, especially very elderly people and elderly people with other conditions (double digit mortality rate). * Severe cases are not only less likely in the young and otherwise healthy, they have a much better prognosis when they do occur. * Most LWers are young, otherwise healthy, and not living w

21May 10, 2020

Kenoubi

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15y

Is the ChatGPT-simulated Linux virtual machine real?

Context: Building A Virtual Machine inside ChatGPT It very much triggers my "roll to disbelieve" reflex, but people seem to be talking about it as if it's real and not that surprising. I'd try it myself, but OpenAI is saying ChatGPT is overloaded (and I don't have an OpenAI account,...

Dec 13, 202218

Why COVID-19 prevention at the margin might be bad for most LWers

May 10, 202021

Meetup : Pittsburgh Less Wrong › Meetup

Discussion article for the meetup : Pittsburgh Less Wrong › Meetup WHEN: 07 May 2015 07:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: 4909 Frew St, Pittsburgh, PA Joseph Swernofsky says: Same time and place as last week. We'll probably follow up on the body language talk from [4/30] somehow. Where: Osher room, basement of...

May 6, 20152

Meetup : Pittsburgh HPMoR Wrap Party

Discussion article for the meetup : Pittsburgh HPMoR Wrap Party WHEN: 14 March 2015 12:00:00PM (-0500) WHERE: Bagel Factory, 420 S Craig St, Pittsburgh, PA I'll be wearing a black t-shirt that says "If I agreed with you, we'd both be wrong." I promise to be there until at least...

Mar 7, 20152

Meetup : Big Gaming Fun 6: A New Beginning!

Discussion article for the meetup : Big Gaming Fun 6: A New Beginning! WHEN: 05 May 2013 01:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: 100 East End Ave., Pittsburgh, PA 15221 Come match wits against others who value believing the truth and acting effectively to achieve their goals! Now revived after I spent 2.5...

Apr 30, 20132

Need some psychology advice

I started going out with a fantastic girl a couple of weeks ago. Everything is great, except that whenever I've sent her a text message or email requesting something and haven't received a response yet, I experience significant dysphoric anxiety, fearing that her response will be not just "no" but...

Feb 27, 201310

Meetup : Pittsburgh Meetup: Big Gaming Fun 5!

Discussion article for the meetup : Pittsburgh Meetup: Big Gaming Fun 5! WHEN: 29 April 2012 12:00:00PM (-0400) WHERE: 1324 Wightman St., Pittsburgh, PA 15217 You can see my game collection here; please bring anything else you'd like to play. We can order food and go as late as 19:00....

Apr 25, 20121

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Kenoubi

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Why COVID-19 prevention at the margin might be bad for most LWers

Is the ChatGPT-simulated Linux virtual machine real?

Need some psychology advice

Meetup : Pittsburgh HPMoR Wrap Party

Kenoubi

Is the ChatGPT-simulated Linux virtual machine real?

Why COVID-19 prevention at the margin might be bad for most LWers

Meetup : Pittsburgh Less Wrong › Meetup

Meetup : Pittsburgh HPMoR Wrap Party

Meetup : Big Gaming Fun 6: A New Beginning!

Need some psychology advice

Meetup : Pittsburgh Meetup: Big Gaming Fun 5!

Why COVID-19 prevention at the margin might be bad for most LWers

Is the ChatGPT-simulated Linux virtual machine real?

Need some psychology advice

Meetup : Pittsburgh HPMoR Wrap Party

Is the ChatGPT-simulated Linux virtual machine real?

Why COVID-19 prevention at the margin might be bad for most LWers

Meetup : Pittsburgh Less Wrong › Meetup

Meetup : Pittsburgh HPMoR Wrap Party

Meetup : Big Gaming Fun 6: A New Beginning!

Need some psychology advice

Meetup : Pittsburgh Meetup: Big Gaming Fun 5!