Particles break light-speed limit?
http://www.nature.com/news/2011/110922/full/news.2011.554.html
http://arxiv.org/abs/1109.4897v1
http://usersguidetotheuniverse.com/?p=2169
http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3027056
Ereditato says that he is confident enough in the new result to make it public. The researchers claim to have measured the 730-kilometre trip between CERN and its detector to within 20 centimetres. They can measure the time of the trip to within 10 nanoseconds, and they have seen the effect in more than 16,000 events measured over the past two years. Given all this, they believe the result has a significance of six-sigma — the physicists' way of saying it is certainly correct. The group will present their results tomorrow at CERN, and a preprint of their results will be posted on the physics website ArXiv.org.
At least one other experiment has seen a similar effect before, albeit with a much lower confidence level. In 2007, the Main Injector Neutrino Oscillation Search (MINOS) experiment in Minnesota saw neutrinos from the particle-physics facility Fermilab in Illinois arriving slightly ahead of schedule. At the time, the MINOS team downplayed the result, in part because there was too much uncertainty in the detector's exact position to be sure of its significance, says Jenny Thomas, a spokeswoman for the experiment. Thomas says that MINOS was already planning more accurate follow-up experiments before the latest OPERA result. "I'm hoping that we could get that going and make a measurement in a year or two," she says.
Perhaps the end of the era of the light cone and beginning of the era of the neutrino cone? I'd be curious to see your probability estimates for whether this theory pans out. Or other crackpot hypotheses to explain the results.
Bayesian Conspiracy @ Burning Man 2011
Edit: 8/27
After a beautiful jaunt to the fertile delta of Ephemerisle, the Bayesian Conspiracy is returning to the much less forgiving environs of Burning Man in 2011. We have been placed in the Playagon village at 3:55 and E.G -- I think the F road is obstructed by Playagon village, and we will be right about where F would be. Time Colony is at 4:00.
This year, we are asking for $300 dues from campers. Creating a non-capitalist utopian society with communal shelter, good food, water, kitchen, some air conditioning, and not even close to all of the comforts of home is quite expensive for a first time theme camp -- I myself am participating at the sponsorship level of $1000.
We had a total of 30 slots that are now mostly filled. We have 3 tickets available now. If you're interested, please email me at kfischer &! gmail (* com and let me know as soon as possible.
For those that would like to camp nearby but prefer a more DIY experience, there will likely be unreserved camping space just across the road from us.
Previous discussions:
http://lesswrong.com/lw/4qi/less_wrong_at_burning_man_2011/
http://lesswrong.com/lw/2mp/burning_man_meetup_bayes_camp/
Making an Amanda Knox prediction market
I'm not sure if anyone has been following the appeal...
but I'm willing to bet up to several hundred dollars at even odds that Amanda Knox will be released on appeal.
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