The number of confounding factors isn't that important if it's possible to do controlled experiments that control for them. Nutrition science has the problem that you usually can't do good controlled experiments or those are very expensive.
Obviously if you can control for a confounding factor then its not an issue, I was simply stressing that the nature of human sciences means that it is effectively impossible to control for all confounding factors, or even be aware of many of them.
I'm Tom, 23 year old uni drop out (existential apathy is a killer), majored in Bioscience for what its worth. Saw the name of this site while browsing tvtropes and was instantly intrigued, as "less wrong" has always been something of a mantra for me. I lurked for a while and sampled the sequences and was pleased to note that many of the points raised were ideas that had already occurred to me.
Its good to find a community devoted to reason and that seems to actually think where most people are content not to. I'm looking forward suckling off the collective wisdom of this community, and hopefully make a valuable contribution or two of my own.
If you want to know whether food is good or bad you have to look at mortality which means you might have to wait a decade.
A lot of psychology experiments claim effects over much shorter timeframes.
I think he is more suggesting that the number of confounding factors in psychology experiments is generally far higher than in the natural sciences. The addition of such uncontrollable factors leads to a generally higher error rate in human sciences.
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To the extend that's true careful replication of studies to identify factors is important if you don't want to practice what Feymann described as Cargo Cult science. If you follow Feymann argument physicists also would get a bunch of bad results if they would work with the scientific standards used in psychology.
Feymann on rat psychology:
Nutrition is really a different case than a lot of psychology. There are question in psychology such as whether doing certain things to a child in it's childhood effect whether that child is a healthy adult. Those questions are hard to investigate scientifically because of time lag. The same isn't true for many psychology experiments.
I don't think we actually disagree on anything, the only point I was making was that your reply to Lightwave, while accurate, wasn't actually replying to the point he made.