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Comment author: MarkusRamikin 14 March 2017 09:48:21AM *  0 points [-]

What if there was an asteroid rushing toward Earth, and box A contained an asteroid deflector that worked 10% of the time, and box B might contain an asteroid deflector that worked 100% of the time?

I'd change that to 95%, because if B contains a 100% deflector, A adds nothing and there's no dilemma.

Comment author: Kaj_Sotala 02 June 2015 07:56:08AM 6 points [-]

Ex Machina. A story about AI that was about as realistic as is reasonable to expect from a Hollywood movie, made by people with an actual clue about the subject matter.

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 24 January 2017 12:25:42PM 1 point [-]

Finally got around to it, and it's great. The ending was exactly what it should be.

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 04 September 2016 09:14:41AM 0 points [-]

Is this against spaced repetition as such, or against flash cards?

For me the value of Anki (or my own custom program that I wrote a while back) is as a review-scheduler, not as a quizzer.

Comment author: Good_Burning_Plastic 27 September 2015 09:19:41AM 1 point [-]

Dunno about MarkusRamikin, but I'd sure be interested in hearing why you "think it is quite insane that we don't make more ethanol from corn".

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 27 September 2015 10:02:50AM *  0 points [-]

Yep, me too.

Comment author: Wes_W 09 April 2015 07:18:17AM 2 points [-]

As long as it's a god with a Big Divine Plan in which humans play a role, sure.

If the gods created the universe so they could watch the big shiny hydrogen balls, and don't care about the emergent properties of complex proteins on that one planet in that one galaxy, we wouldn't necessarily know about it.

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 09 April 2015 10:19:32AM *  0 points [-]

Well crap.

I guess that when I thought "religion", I thought "system of worship", not "system of belief". To me the a religion would be "true" if it accurately responded to a demand for worship or obedience or such. If the creators of the Universe have no preferences over our actions, then at most you could have a, well, description of them, but not much of a religion thus defined. Discovering such beings would not make me a religious person.

Of course now that I thought of it explicitely, I realize this is a rather narrow definition.

Comment author: dxu 07 April 2015 11:49:23PM 5 points [-]

The main things that I found had weight is that it's taking the numerous world religions and saying 'this one' without any great reason.

In fact, it's even worse than that. You're not selecting from the set of all existing religions in the world today, but rather from the set of all possible religions, even those that haven't been invented.

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 09 April 2015 06:43:29AM 0 points [-]

Wait, why? If God existed, I'd expect the true religion to be among actually existing ones.

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 01 April 2015 08:56:54AM *  6 points [-]

For reasons, I suggest that Bayesian Judo doesn't make EY look good to people who aren't already cheering for his team, and maybe it wasn't wise to include it.

More generally, the book feels a bit... neutered. Things like, for example, changing "if you go ahead and mess around with Wulky's teenage daughter" to "if you go ahead and insult Wulky". The first is concrete, evocative, and therefore strong, while the latter is fuzzy and weak. Though my impression may be skewed just because I remember the original examples so well.

Comment author: ChristianKl 30 March 2015 10:30:21AM 4 points [-]

Fantastic article. The problem is that now I have a pet theory with which to dismiss anything said by a TV pundit with whom I disagree: I'd be better off guessing myself or at random than listening to them.

That's great, stop watching TV. TV pundits are an awful source of information.

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 30 March 2015 02:53:51PM 4 points [-]

stop watching TV

One of my past life decisions I consistently feel very happy about.

Comment author: dxu 22 March 2015 08:32:32PM 1 point [-]

I'm not actually sure. "It's weird to see yourself", possibly? Though, in a world with stuff like Polyjuice Potion, I don't know how rare that sort of thing would actually be...

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 29 March 2015 07:25:22AM *  1 point [-]

I'm guessing something vaguely along the lines of the "do not mess with time" warning. Except I can't imagine it specifically, how that might possibly go in the case of someone who's doing what Minerva says not to do.

Comment author: MarkusRamikin 29 March 2015 07:20:12AM *  0 points [-]

If Quirrel killed Hermione to "improve [Harry's] position relative to Lucius", what was the point of trying to persuade her to leave Britain for France, in chapter 84?

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