Comment author: steven0461 03 March 2012 12:50:32AM 8 points [-]

Some of these people show signs of being rather high-level rationalists overall, although some don't.

I wouldn't necessarily expect there to be a super-strong connection between not rationalizing and being a "high-level rationalist". There are other ways to go systematically wrong than through goal-directed rationalization. As a possibly overlapping point, your concept of "high-level rationalist" probably sneaks in things like intelligence and knowledge that aren't strictly rationality.

Comment author: Mercurial 03 March 2012 06:56:27AM 1 point [-]

Good points.

I'm not trying to sneak in connotations, by the way. We're just talking about the fact that these people seem to be quite good at things like goal-factoring, VOI calculations, etc.

Comment author: Grognor 02 March 2012 11:55:28PM *  5 points [-]

In a word: compartmentalization.

Since that's not helpful, I will say that it doesn't even seem to be possible for there to be people who don't rationalize. (Or enough that you're at all likely to find them.)

Some of these people show signs of being rather

"Some", "signs", "rather". These words all show signs of being rather belief in belief. I notice you don't say, "Some of these people are high-level rationalists," just that they show warning signs of being so. What does this really mean? Are you referring to the "visible aura of competence" Eliezer talked about in his 'the level above mine' sequence on people who are aspiring rationalists? If so, I'd wager this carries very little information, since you're sampling from aspiring rationalists!

Also, could you explain what you mean by "seem to have little clue what Tarski is for"?

Comment author: Mercurial 03 March 2012 06:54:46AM 7 points [-]

I will say that it doesn't even seem to be possible for there to be people who don't rationalize. (Or enough that you're at all likely to find them.)

You'd think not. Yet even Eliezer seems to think that one of our case studies really, truly might not ever rationalize and possibly never has before. This seems to be a case of a beautiful, sane theory beaten to death by a small gang of brutal facts.

"Some", "signs", "rather". These words all show signs of being rather belief in belief. I notice you don't say, "Some of these people are high-level rationalists," just that they show warning signs of being so. What does this really mean?

It means that I don't know how to measure how strong someone's rationality skills are other than talking to others whom I intuitively want to say are good rationalists and comparing notes. So I'm hedging my assertions. But to whatever degree several people at the Singularity Institute are able to figure out who is or is not a reasonably good rationalist, some of our sample "non-rationalizers" appear to us to be good rationalists, and some appear not to be so.

Also, could you explain what you mean by "seem to have little clue what Tarski is for"?

Sure. We tell them the kinds of situations in which Tarski is useful, including some personal examples of our own applications of it, and they just blink at us and completely fail to relate. For instance, I might say, "So once I was walking past a pizza place and smelled pizza. Cheese turns out to be really bad for me, but at the time I was hungry. So I watched my mind construct arguments like, 'I haven't gotten much calcium for the last while.'" Nothing of this sort - fake justification, selective search, nothing - seems to connect to something they can relate to. So they just don't see where they'd ever use Tarski.

And yes, we've had at least one person be openly skeptical that anyone could possibly find Tarski useful because he didn't think anyone rationalized the way we were describing. And another of our case studies seemed to know rationalization only as a joke. ("The cake has fewer calories and doesn't count if I eat it while standing, right?")

Comment author: steven0461 03 March 2012 12:25:17AM *  12 points [-]

It seems introspectively plausible that when you ask people questions like "how do you know when you're rationalizing", they feel like they've been asked a "when did you stop beating your wife" question, and feel initially tempted to react with an "oh yeah, well maybe I don't" regardless of whether it's true.

Comment author: Mercurial 03 March 2012 06:46:07AM 5 points [-]

That's a good hypothesis. Unfortunately this doesn't come from asking people, "How do you know when you're rationalizing?" or any variant thereof. The original problem arose when we could not for the life of us convey to some individuals why the Litany of Tarski might be useful. We gave examples from our own lives and watched these individuals just blink and say, "Huh. Yeah, I guess I just don't relate to that at all."

People who "don't rationalize"? [Help Rationality Group figure it out]

12 Mercurial 02 March 2012 11:38PM

Anna Salamon and I are confused. Both of us notice ourselves rationalizing on pretty much a daily basis and have to apply techniques like the Litany of Tarski pretty regularly. But in several of our test sessions for teaching rationality, a handful of people report never rationalizing and seem to have little clue what Tarski is for. They don't relate to any examples we give, whether fictitious or actual personal examples from our lives. Some of these people show signs of being rather high-level rationalists overall, although some don't.

So, Less Wrong, we're asking for your input on this one. What do you think is going on?

Comment author: Anatoly_Vorobey 20 January 2012 09:08:27PM *  18 points [-]

This description is very plausible, but entirely wrong. It was almost completely the opposite of what you're saying. The Muslim mathematicians used fewer symbols than the Greek tradition they inherited for almost the entire timeline of medieval Arabic/Islamic mathematics. The "first textbook" you're referring too, Al-Khwarizmi's Al-jabr wa'l muqabalah, the one ultimately responsible for the word "algebra", did not use any symbols at all, and wrote everything out in words.

Greek mathematicians started to use something like symbols (abbreviated letters with fixed positional meaning) by the time of Diophantus around 3rd century CE. The Arab mathematicians did not adopt that when they translated the Greek texts, and for the first 500 years of their work, wrote everything out fully. Moreover, it is those texts devoid of any symbolic systems that were translated into Latin and used to help fuel the European tradition in 12th-13th centuries CE. Even though some Islamic mathematicians later did develop the beginnings of a symbolic notation, in 14th-15th centuries, this happened roughly in parallel with the Europeans inventing their own symbols, and did not influence the modern tradition that derives from those European symbols.

To be sure, Muslim mathematicians were much better algebraists than the Greeks. But that was because Greeks never quite reached the idea of decoupling numbers (and unknown quantities) from geometry and manipulating them as separate objects on their own. The Muslim mathematicians were able to do that (and as a result, much more), despite not having any symbolic system at their disposal.

Comment author: Mercurial 21 January 2012 05:25:59PM 2 points [-]

Huh. This directly contradicts what I encountered. I'll have to explore this a bit. I knew the Greeks had a problem with decoupling their idea of number from their concepts of geometric construction, but I was told that certainly in formal logic and I thought in numerical reasoning as well, their lack of symbol system machinery handicapped them. The Muslims, on the other hand, wouldn't use pictures of the ideas to which they wanted to refer because of the ban on iconography, so they had to encode their concept of quantity differently, I thought that's where symbol machinery came from.

So... I'll have to look into this. Upvoted for offering a correction, although I don't know yet if it's actually correct. Thank you!

Comment author: Mercurial 19 January 2012 05:14:27PM *  24 points [-]

If there were a world in which algebra had been learned only through reading essays, without subskill-by-subskill practice, it would not be surprising if the world’s best algebra practitioners could be outperformed by an ordinary student who worked diligently through the exercises in a standard textbook.

This actually happened. The ancient Greeks weren't very capable algebraists because they didn't develop a symbol system that they could systematically manipulate according to prescribed rules. Their description of formal logical inferences were insane to read: "If the first and the second, or the third, implies the fourth, then the first or the fourth, implying the third...." The reason our word "algebra" comes from Arabic isn't because the Muslims were better algebraists; it was because they used symbol systems (to avoid making icons of Mohammad) in order to encode the material they were reading in the Greek literature. The result was something reasonably close to our modern symbol-manipulation system, which made it possible to train in algebra.

So this isn't just a theoretical example. Really, honestly, the first textbook ("al-jebr..." I don't quite remember the title) absolutely trounced several hundred years of careful, intelligent Greek thought on the topic of numerical reasoning.

Edit: Please see this. There's some question about the accuracy of my statement here.

Comment author: Mercurial 09 January 2012 01:40:14AM *  0 points [-]

As a quick addendum: If you're interested in hearing about the Enneagram keys but weren't at the previous meetup, you'll get a lot more out of that discussion if you have some familiarity with the Enneagram beforehand. If you're totally new to it, I'd suggest reading this webpage. Just two caveats:

  • You can safely stop after you've read the section on "Levels of Development." I'm pretty sure the material on Directions of Integration and Disintegration is just pretty theory and doesn't quite tie into reality the way an empirical claim should. I also don't talk that much about the Instinctual Variants.
  • There's a lot of fluff in Enneagram talk. It started out as a kind of sacred geometry and then went through several layers of having psychological theories woven into it. Despite its origins, though, empirically the system works extremely well in specific domains. Part of my goal in this presentation (if we elect for me to present it) will be to point out exactly how you can test it and precisely what results to expect. It's not subtle. So please don't be too surprised to find mystical language and dualism and other mental traps in Enneagram literature; it's pretty ubiquitous, but unnecessarily so. There really is a rational version of the Enneagram, and that's what I focus on and am offering to share.
Comment author: Mercurial 09 January 2012 12:01:04AM 5 points [-]

I attended the first one in 2010. It was pretty neat. I mean, I met Eliezer there and found out about Less Wrong as a result! The people were really wonderful to get to talk to, and the spirit of connection was very, very strong for many of us there. Lots of new friends as a result, even if we're spread all over creation and stay connected only tangentially via Facebook.

With that said, I found the conference itself often kind of silly. We spent a lot of time doing self-descriptions to everyone and then doing a few dozen ice-breaker activities. But really, almost all the social time occurred after each day of formal sessions when people would hang out in the hot tub or in hotel rooms and just chat. I watched some fantastic plans form for getting cryonics reliably available throughout Europe as part of those after-hours meetings. :-)

I understand that the 2011 one was basically an exact repeat of the one before, which was kind of odd since many people already knew each other or at least of each other and just wanted to chat. If the same person is running it this time, I kind of suspect that'll happen again. But it was certainly worth it for me, at least, to go through those oddball ceremonies to have a chance to chat with so many forward-thinking people. There's something downright relieving about being with a large group of intelligent people who all get that death is bad and life is good! At least if you're of a like mind, that is; I imagine that people who think that immortality would be horrid would feel very sorely out-of-place there.

The tour of Suspended Animation afterwards was really neat, too. Between seeing what they do and talking to several of the scientists who were at the conference, I had to update my beliefs about how important it is to get suspended immediately after death as opposed to minutes or hours later.

And as a sociological thing, it was really, really nice to see so many young people involved with cryonics not being total eggheads. (Bear in mind that I pretty much have to count myself as an egghead. No offense intended!) There were entrepreneurs and lawyers and artists and musicians and adventure-seekers. It was really amazing to see real variety entering the cryonics meme pool!

I plan on going to the next one if I can. I really liked getting to chat with the people there two years ago, so even going through the same introduction scheme and presentations that spell out someone's pet theory on the Singularity would totally be worth it. :-)

Comment author: mwengler 21 November 2011 11:39:12PM 0 points [-]

Mercurial, thanks for an AMAZING presentation on Enneagrams. I was a "9" in the meet-up, but written tests keep brining me out as a "5" with 9 coming in 3rd or 4th place. Whaddyagonnado. I can't wait to find out what my wife is.

Mike

Comment author: Mercurial 28 December 2011 10:03:32PM 0 points [-]

Glad you enjoyed! (And sorry for not responding sooner; I wish there were a setting that informed me when someone replies to a top-level post of mine!)

Don't take the tests too seriously. Supposedly the RHETI somewhere in the ballpark of 80% accurate (although I'm not sure how they determined that), but in my experience it's just not nearly as helpful as talking to someone who can actually use the toolset. Threes, Sixes, and Nines in particular seem to have a lot of trouble with tests: Threes keep wanting to be whatever the "best" type is, Sixes keep double-guessing their answers, and Nines tend to see most of the choices in the forced-choice tests as relatively arbitrary ("Well, I'm like A when I'm with these friends but I'm like B when I'm with those friends, so I could go either way").

I think training System One, like I described in the presentation, is much more likely to type you and your wife correctly. Although as you said, I'm pretty sure you're a Nine.

I hope we can expect you at the next meetup!

Meetup : San Diego experimental meetup

0 Mercurial 28 December 2011 10:02PM

Discussion article for the meetup : San Diego experimental meetup

WHEN: 15 January 2012 01:00:00PM (-0800)

WHERE: 6380 Del Cerro Blvd. San Diego, CA 92120

We're having a meetup in our usual haunt on Sunday, January 15th at 1pm. Food and drink are available for purchase, though you'll need your ID to get anything alcoholic.

In the spirit of developing Rationality Dojo curricula, we're going to test a newly developed training session. We want to see how it works and to get your feedback on how it came across to you. And I think we'll have good fun in the process. :-)

If there's time and interest, I'm also willing to continue the discussion from last time by giving a presentation on what I call the Enneagram keys. These are guidelines for interacting with the types that let you (a) build a good relationship with someone of a known type, (b) hit their hot buttons like nothing else (which is really meant to help you know why they get hurt or angry and how to avoid doing that), and (c) open communications and build rapport. Because each Ennea-type has a relatively specific way of reacting to specific keys, you can also use the keys to test hypotheses about someone's type. For instance, if you don't know whether you're dealing with a Four or a Nine, you can try suggesting something optimistic about their future ("Today might be a bit drab, but tomorrow is a new day!"). A Nine will typically respond with something positive (a spacey smile if they're withdrawn or a big grin and nods if they're feeling confident), whereas a Four will typically turn cold and might even give you an eyeroll. So the keys are where the Enneagram most blatantly pays rent.

But I'm definitely open to other options! I could stand to train my calibration better, and I have as yet to play any of the calibration games others have brought on occasion. (I'm looking at you, Jennifer!)

So! Please, show up, help us develop a solid Rationality Dojo curriculum by joining us in getting stronger, and join in on some delightful conversation!

See you there!

Discussion article for the meetup : San Diego experimental meetup

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