Comment author: Matt_Simpson 26 July 2011 06:06:39AM 4 points [-]

A better argument for the minimum wage is that empirically it doesn't have much of a negative effect on employment - see below - but it placates the political demands of a largely uninformed populace that might otherwise try to get much worse policies enacted.

(I seem to recall that Bryan Caplan originally made this argument, but I can't source with a quick google search.)

Comment author: Mercy 27 July 2011 04:43:46PM 0 points [-]

What worse policies are you thinking of? Only this sounds like the socialist argument against the welfare state...

In terms of liberterian arguments for the minimum wage, Chris Dillows takes the same tack http://stumblingandmumbling.typepad.com/stumbling_and_mumbling/2010/11/small-truths-about-the-minimum-wage.html but the opposite conclusion- fighting to get rid of the minimum wage is a distraction from the problem of unemployment, given it's low magnitude.

Comment author: Mercy 25 July 2011 04:24:13PM 3 points [-]

(1) seems pretty common, and from what I know of Mr Sailer, I imagine it underlies most of his examples- there'll be an article highlighting some inequality or problem and the "facts which undermine the premises of the piece" are the suggested causes, the "joke" is that the author's see the outcome as undesirable while Sailer sees attempts to change the outcome as foolish.

Conspicuous wrongness sounds close to belief as attire (the article with the pagan lady who believed something she obviously didn't think was true) but with the addition that someone believes it's true, so the motive is not to disagree with them. I think ideologues often identify each other by the viewpoints they can be certain nobody else shares- how else to explain why the unreadable Atlas Shrugs remains more popular than Rand's other books, which are no less strident but considerably more appealing to outsiders.

In response to Gender and Libido
Comment author: knb 03 July 2011 06:45:03PM 1 point [-]

It's pretty easy to see why the Victorians were wrong. The social norms (especially middle class) cherished female chastity, since chastity is an important virtue for monogamous societies. This is because men are more reluctant to form long-term mating commitments to women with a reputation for strong sex desire (this increases paternal uncertainty). So over centuries, the parochial assumption that women were genuinely chaste would have become common among men. Now that female chastity is out, marriage rates are declining, and we seem to be evolving to a more "forager" sexual style (this trend is currently incomplete).

I've also read anti-porn radical feminists who argue that women only pretend to accept male use of porn (or bondage/discipline in the bedroom) to seem "cool", when really they find it disgusting/evil.

In response to comment by knb on Gender and Libido
Comment author: Mercy 03 July 2011 06:52:14PM 1 point [-]

I've also seen "women can't enjoy Penis-in-Vagina sex and any who believe they do are sufferring from Trauma Bonding" but only among people who, as far as I can tell, identify as anti-third wave feminists first, and radical feminists second.

Comment author: Jayson_Virissimo 20 June 2011 05:08:40PM 1 point [-]

Currently, The Economist is the only news paper I read on a weekly basis. Generally, the writing seems more informed by sound social science and a historical perspective than The New York Times or The Wall Street Journal.

Comment author: Mercy 24 June 2011 11:35:51PM *  0 points [-]

I do like the economist, but they suffer from a recent graduate syndrome I've become increasingly aware of as the blogosphere allows the sort of person who forms the majority of their staff greater access to the limelight, the very convincing on areas you know nothing about, horribly amateurish on areas you are familiar with, concatenate the last three AP reports with a dose of the old Washington Consensus style. It's a style formed by throwing in enough second hand research that one's editorially mandated conclusions seem authorative, which can see it in blogs like Lenin's Tomb. Of the big European weekly don't-pretend-to-be-unbiased newspapers, I find Le Monde Diplomatique much more useful because it doesn't rely on that style so much. But the economist is worth reading, and I don't think the NYT is most of the time, and anything owned by Murdoch certainly ain't.

Also: the Guardian has a similar attitude to the NYT, with much higher journalistic standards- depressingly, the best in the UK at the moment, purely on the basis that they've declined the least out of the respectable papers. Combine that with the Financial Times (which is done by the same sort of people as the economist, but aimed at an audience they actually respect) gives you a decent breadth of coverage. Add in Red Pepper if you want to keep up on the latest labour issues.

Comment author: Mercy 20 June 2011 01:49:21AM 10 points [-]

I haven't read this Salam but that "not a partisan so they must be unbiased" heuristic is pretty dodgy, particularly for an American columnist- that two party duopoly means you have a lot of right-libertarian and socialist/green analysts who regard each party as identical but are toting around some pretty serious ideological blinkers of their own, not to mention the cult of the sensible centrist people.

The right-wing meltdown you've got going on kind of screws with this though- for most countries I'd suggest that heterodox/lesser-of-two-evils party members from any group tend to suffer the least from illusions, but the impression I get is that in the US, the conservative variety no longer feels comfortable with the Republican party. This is all second hand though...

Comment author: atucker 12 June 2011 05:45:42AM *  0 points [-]

66% pullback in price this weekend. This certainly isn't a market for the fainthearted.

Clearly, the market is responding to people questioning its efficacy on Less Wrong. :P

My probability distribution looks something like 90% chance of going to 0 and 10% chance of going to multiple hundreds of dollars.

Are you buying bitcoins? Expected utility is in the multiple tens of dollars if you believe that.

Comment author: Mercy 12 June 2011 01:38:51PM *  3 points [-]

It's funny you should mention that, because just about the time of the collapse a bunch of posters on the Something Awful thread mocking bitcoins decided to see if they could crash the market by posting SELL SELL SELL messages on various discussion boards. From the posts there they think it's coincidence though- the crash was caused by a single big seller.

Comment author: Mercy 12 June 2011 01:32:14PM 2 points [-]

I've kind of stayed out of this discussion because I think one's interpretation of the product depends on more on your views about economics and politics than any disagreement about bitcoin's properties. And Tyler Cowen's skepticism makes me think that bitcoin proponents are deep enough into Rothbardville that our lines of engagement would get fruitlessly broad.

But I'm curious on one point - why do some people have this dramatic 'coins'll be worth thousands or nothing" attitude. I can see the zero, and I can get my head round the viewpoint where it's plausible that a large chunk of the economy gets covered by bitcoins and they're worth thousands. But what about it staying where it is now, as a complementary used for drug deals, money laundering and Konkin t-shirts? Is there some reason that wouldn't be stable?

Comment author: Mercy 09 June 2011 08:23:12PM 2 points [-]

I've often thought that comedy is useful because it breaks down compartmentalisation, and more generally because it creates a sort of mental safe space in which ideas can be thought about without triggering the usual mental defences. I'll go as far as to say it's the safest way of breaking down compartmentalization- that if you do it while precommitting to accept the result, you'll tend to select the synthesis consistent with your most cherished beliefs, rather than the one which most accurately reflects reality. On a related note, humor-intolerance is a great warning sign for mentally dangerous ideologies.

I'd be wary of attempting to derive any universal "theory of comedy" though- this doesn't account for clowning or really any types of physical humour for instance. The only thing that seems to be universal about comedy is that it demonstrates awareness of/ability to manipulate multiple levels of meaning or interpretation - which isn't a sufficient condition.

Comment author: Mercy 10 June 2011 09:37:59AM *  0 points [-]

Okay just looking at this now I realise I've failed to heed my own advice, there's one style of "humour" that doesn't involve multiple levels of awareness and is very common among joyless ideologues, which is the style of mean spirited mockery, vicious down-putting of out-groups.

It kind of rises into proper humour if you exaggerate it to the point of ridiculousness, and it's my impression that the people who do that are also comfortable with self mocking and silly humour, and are capable of talking amiably with people not on "their side".

Comment author: Mercy 09 June 2011 08:23:12PM 2 points [-]

I've often thought that comedy is useful because it breaks down compartmentalisation, and more generally because it creates a sort of mental safe space in which ideas can be thought about without triggering the usual mental defences. I'll go as far as to say it's the safest way of breaking down compartmentalization- that if you do it while precommitting to accept the result, you'll tend to select the synthesis consistent with your most cherished beliefs, rather than the one which most accurately reflects reality. On a related note, humor-intolerance is a great warning sign for mentally dangerous ideologies.

I'd be wary of attempting to derive any universal "theory of comedy" though- this doesn't account for clowning or really any types of physical humour for instance. The only thing that seems to be universal about comedy is that it demonstrates awareness of/ability to manipulate multiple levels of meaning or interpretation - which isn't a sufficient condition.

Comment author: [deleted] 03 June 2011 09:54:31PM 0 points [-]

If I understand correctly, a pyramid scheme is something like when you try to convince me that 2 people will send me a dollar if I agree to send you a dollar. Is bitcoin really like that? In what sense do I have to send someone "already enrolled" in the scheme a dollar to get my two dollars?

Comment author: Mercy 07 June 2011 11:22:31PM 1 point [-]

Looks like one of those instances where pyramid scheme is used as a catch all term for scams which aim to look like a franchise or investment. Could be that they are thinking of the miners as franchisees but that would only make sense if the founders were selling graphics cards.

I believe the technical term for what the bitcoin founders are making the right moves to be doing is a pump-and-dump.

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