MrMind

Epistemic status: just a review of a well known math theorem and a brief rant about terminology. Yesterday I saw another example of this: P(D) is just a normalizing constant for the posterior probability, and it's really hard (impossible?) to calculate, so let's switch to log odd probabilities, which are...

I just want to put this idea in the form of a post, to gather your impressions. I think it's my main rationalist failure mode. Recently in a Facebook group, some poster has proposed this synthesis of Harari's book '21 lessons': > In the 21st century, three narratives were used...

For quite some time I've considered creating a Youtube channel devoted to rationality. I live in Italy, and the political situation here bears some similarities with the US': we've seen the rise of populist figures accompanied by the debate around fake news and post-truth, usually created with the purpose of...

IF IT'S WORTH SAYING, BUT NOT WORTH ITS OWN POST, THEN IT GOES HERE. Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page before posting.) 3. Open Threads...

IF IT'S WORTH SAYING, BUT NOT WORTH ITS OWN POST, THEN IT GOES HERE. Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page before posting.) 3. Open Threads...

If it's worth saying, but not worth its own post, then it goes here. Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page before posting.) 3. Open Threads...

Notes for future OT posters: 1. Please add the 'open_thread' tag. 2. Check if there is an active Open Thread before posting a new one. (Immediately before; refresh the list-of-threads page before posting.) 3. Open Threads should start on Monday, and end on Sunday. 4. Unflag the two options "Notify...