Comment author: Dentin 12 February 2016 02:37:12AM -1 points [-]

IMHO the 'attempted rape' claim is far more interpretation than substance - an interpretation that is specious at best.

Comment author: Nate646 12 February 2016 03:00:38PM 0 points [-]

IMHO the 'attempted rape' claim is far more interpretation than substance - an interpretation that is specious at best.

I'll admit that I'd missed that part when I first read the post, I only noticed it after I went through the comments section

While almost everyone who commented interpreted it that way, I think it's also worth pointing out that at least one person in the comments thread missed the metaphor completely.

Comment author: Nate646 09 February 2016 12:09:38PM 3 points [-]

I'm interested to know if anyone would have considered voting this up if the attempted rape portion of the metaphor had been omitted and the story had been ended just before then?

Comment author: Nate646 28 November 2015 11:57:08AM 4 points [-]

The prediction market I was using, iPredict is closing. Apparently it represents a money laundering risk and the Government refused to grant an exemption. Does anyone know any good alternatives?

Comment author: James_Miller 20 October 2015 02:28:29AM 2 points [-]

What's the probability that this is caused by aliens?

Submitting...

Comment author: Nate646 20 October 2015 06:05:37AM 7 points [-]

*What's the probability that this is caused by aliens? *

What is your own probability estimate? I am not sure I can accurately distinguish between below 1/100,000 and between 1/10,000 and 1/100,000. With probabilities this small I am not sure that any estimate is useful

Comment author: ChristianKl 27 June 2015 03:11:10PM 1 point [-]

I don't know what you mean with "letting on". The census asked very directly for a probability value of successful revival.

Comment author: Nate646 10 July 2015 06:19:15AM 0 points [-]

I don't know what you mean with "letting on". The census asked very directly for a probability value of successful revival.>

I mean that their actual revival estimate may be a lot higher than they are willing to acknowledge, which would explain the peace of mind.

Comment author: ChristianKl 24 June 2015 04:35:09PM 9 points [-]

If I remember right the estimation of successful revival via cryonics by LW people who are signed up for cryonics is <0.2. I don't see how that is supposed to produce peace of mind.

Comment author: Nate646 27 June 2015 01:20:28PM 1 point [-]

It could well be, that their estimation of a successful revival is significantly higher than they are letting on.