Nobody followed my lead. I guess that means my belief about my leadership abilities is well-founded!

Hey everybody, let's post our self-perceptions regarding our leadership abilities so that Eliezer can get some feedback as to his expectations!

As for me, I couldn't lead a starving man to a buffet.

Isn't it reasonable to find it more likely that people are lying than that something has gone that flagrantly wrong with my ability to judge sizes of lines?

Evidence is like gravity. Everything is pulling on everything else, but in most cases the pull is weak enough that we can pretty much ignore it. What you have done, Caledonian, is akin to telling me the position of three one-gram weights, and then asking me to calculate the motion of Charon based on that.

But everything is evidence about everything else. I don't see the problem at all.

"Resist against being human" is an interesting choice of words. Surely, most people would not see that as a goal worth pursuing.

Well, I wouldn't have the balls to hijack an airplane and crash it into a building. If they're cowards, what does that make me?

You don't believe in the artistic value of a beautifully extended metaphor?

Not murdering people for criticizing your beliefs is, at the very least, a useful heuristic.

So it turns out that all you have to do is overcome bias? I confess I was hoping for something a little more specific than that.