= 27d567bc2d48d9f40e9ccc20ea370b15)
The number 0.0000000000000000000000000001 does not tell me much. Numbers in high dimensions are tricky. For example, the volume of a unit sphere decays exponentially with dimension. A unit sphere in dimension 24 has very little volume.
In response to
Geometric Bayesian Update
There's no reason why P(E|H) and P(E|~H) must sum to 1, but I can't move the lower right corner without the whole diagram rescaling.
Agreed. The diagram strongly suggests that they do sum to one, so this geometrical method is more confusing than helpful.
Are these misconceptions really common? I thought Kahneman was pretty clear on this in Thinking, Fast and Slow.
In response to
After Go, what games should be next for DeepMind?
Is Alphabet stock a good proxy for owning a piece of DeepMind? Alphabet hasn't gained much at all since AlphaGo started winning. Maybe a few percent, but within the normal fluctuations. Of course this might be because all the smart money knew AlphaGo was going to win.
It is not a good proxy. Deepmind is a small team and there are many more teams within Alphabet doing machine learning. Remember that the market cap of Goog is $500 billion. (Although if one wants to invest in AI in general I think it is a cheap stock)
In response to
Learning Mathematics in Context
I'm convinced that humans must spike their blood sugar and/or pump their body full of stimulants such as caffeine in order to get past the natural tendency to find it unbearably dull to memorize words and syntax by rote and lifeless connection with the structures in their native language.
Just a comment: This is certainly not true for every human. Some people really enjoy that.
That would depend on how many banned users there were. Also, I don't think there would need to be whole versions of the site for each banned user-- there would just be dif versions computed on the fly.
I'm quite uncomfortable with the suggestion for another reason. It wouldn't work-- an active user would probably notice something was wrong in less than a day. If they were banned for excessive hostility, they'd presumably come back under another name.
My first thought was that it might be bad for the group to have people disappear for no apparent reason, but then it occurred to me that people stop posting for all sorts of reasons.
I actually think it would work pretty well. The banned user sees all of their contributions and any IP used by the banned user also sees their contributions. All other users and IPs do not see it.
In response to
Voiceofra is banned
I think it is better if banning decisions are not made public, even (especially) to the banned user.
The banned user should not notice anything, but their posts, messages, and votes do not appear to anyone else.
In response to
[Link]Rationalization is Superior to Rationality
This exact topic comes up in the discussion you linked to – towards the end under “The difference between Eliezer and Nassim Taleb.” (not a descriptive caption)
In response to
Meetup : First meetup in Stockholm
Perhaps I will attend future meetups in the Stockholm area, but not today.
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Looks like a solid improvement over what’s being used in the paper. Does it introduce any new optimization difficulties?