So the price of the future will reflect the best aggregate prediction of the future value of the asset.
Well, technically speaking the price of the future will reflect the capital-weighted opinions of the market participants. That is not necessarily the "best aggregate prediction" -- it could be, but there are no guarantees.
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How do you track and control your spending? Disregarding financial privacy I started paying with card for everything which allows me to track where I do spend my money but not really on what. I find that I in general spend less than what I earn because spending money somehow hurts.
MoneyDashboard.com - links directly to my credit cards and bank accounts. I hear that the US equivalent is mint.com